TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Legacyof Legacy, MIBR
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,390
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,605

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,390 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72aa…90e0backed Legacy50c9,680$4,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,850.014,22049.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L+61.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed MIBR65c8,000$5,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,197.7550054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked MIBR50c7,440$3,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,720.763,25650.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L+97.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Legacy35c6,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,90071645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked MIBR62c5,589$3,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,465.0142440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Legacy53c5,002$2,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,374.3141649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ec6…698bbacked MIBR46c4,982$2,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,290.814555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed Legacy38c4,105$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,545.2634146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Legacy36c2,023$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.645639.3%179 W · 277 L-29.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed Legacy37c1,994$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.165251.9%27 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Legacy37c1,726$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.1914050.7%71 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Legacy35c1,596$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.1747047.4%223 W · 247 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Legacy37c1,500$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.8919346.1%89 W · 104 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x63d4…a2f1backed Legacy37c1,400$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.8718254.9%100 W · 82 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Legacy51c1,381$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.6226054.2%141 W · 119 L-0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed MIBR64c1,363$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.242,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31d4…a7abbacked Legacy38c1,300$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80616447%77 W · 87 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7136…2410backed MIBR44c1,289$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.02475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked MIBR63c1,249$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78732542.2%137 W · 188 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50ac…a924backed MIBR63c1,239$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.6313850%69 W · 69 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked MIBR64c781.25$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50046165.5%302 W · 159 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Legacy36c657.91$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.0633043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked MIBR63c634.92$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40081751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc59f…954ebacked MIBR63c617.66$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.121653.2%115 W · 101 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd57b…c48fbacked MIBR68c617.11$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4207062.9%44 W · 26 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc6f…f0f0backed MIBR54c560.61$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006949.3%34 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed MIBR59c554.42$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.1120251%103 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Legacy31c516.07$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.094156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e48…f025backed MIBR64c507.81$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3255072%36 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick74cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed MIBR43c504.45$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.8815436.4%56 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed MIBR62c498.5$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.072,42944.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L-63.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Legacy37c484.62$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.3116047.5%76 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9ea…59a1backed Legacy41c441.1$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.119238%73 W · 119 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc78a…fae0backed MIBR63c426.11$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae90…9a56backed Legacy37c417.93$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.38740.2%35 W · 52 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked MIBR63c400$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25217853.9%96 W · 82 L+0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5999…bdbebacked MIBR63c396.6$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.866163.9%39 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x423f…eedcbacked MIBR64c390.63$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25040655.7%226 W · 180 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Legacy37c355.97$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.265,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed Legacy37c324.32$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.3229052.4%152 W · 138 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed MIBR63c320$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.626549.1%130 W · 135 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Legacy38c265$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.348845.7%223 W · 265 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Legacy39c259.36$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.1827744.4%123 W · 154 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed MIBR62c253.95$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.4550846.9%238 W · 270 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed Legacy41c245$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14536450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Legacy36c202.25$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.4411638.8%45 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x592c…ee32backed MIBR69c201.25$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.866657.6%38 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc2b…d422backed MIBR55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11019152.9%101 W · 90 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa72a…5685backed MIBR62c198.89$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.3130841.6%128 W · 180 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c25…6bbcbacked MIBR63c187.32$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.871942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed MIBR61c162$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8233354.4%181 W · 152 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc304…c6bbbacked MIBR63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010449%51 W · 53 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed MIBR64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048562.7%304 W · 181 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Legacy35c150$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.558254.3%316 W · 266 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Legacy35c144.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.4638848.5%188 W · 200 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed MIBR64c143.99$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8585446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb223…3772backed Legacy37c133.78$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.287542.7%32 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73a8…5de1backed MIBR64c109.38$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Legacy36c106.25$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.598248.3%474 W · 508 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e46…42dfbacked MIBR65c105.39$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.775042%21 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e35…fe8cbacked MIBR65c101.54$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Legacy32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6826246.9%123 W · 139 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed MIBR62c99.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9938452.3%201 W · 183 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Legacy35c95.74$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.231,99853.7%1,073 W · 925 L+5.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Legacy38c92.11$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1150050.6%253 W · 247 L+2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Legacy35c90.81$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.037363%46 W · 27 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Legacy33c82.18$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3467350.1%337 W · 336 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdd9…be42backed MIBR35c71.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8105…a0a5backed Legacy37c62.16$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.161250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa717…3bbebacked MIBR64c60.94$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3938452.1%200 W · 184 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed MIBR63c53$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3993261.7%575 W · 357 L-4.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbbb…5693backed Legacy37c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.53348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed MIBR63c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.521650.9%110 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3893…8afbbacked MIBR63c47.13$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.699737.1%36 W · 61 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed MIBR63c46.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2942057.6%242 W · 178 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51d5…41b8backed MIBR62c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.82937.9%11 W · 18 L-5.7wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-39%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6cb1…1002backed MIBR64c39.39$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.045648.2%27 W · 29 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb2…e33fbacked MIBR63c39.24$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.721957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26a8…8a98backed MIBR63c39.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.72560%15 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed MIBR52c38.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6511952.9%63 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa230…f8c7backed MIBR63c37.65$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53c6…577dbacked MIBR63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfdf…ec62backed MIBR63c31.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6919…da67backed Legacy41c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.638754.8%212 W · 175 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Legacy54c28.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.241,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked MIBR44c23.9$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4119851.5%102 W · 96 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb06c…75c8backed Legacy71c22.08$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.41258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42e3…35dcbacked MIBR64c20.31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132142.9%9 W · 12 L-4.4wins-0.21per pick64cpaid-35.2%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed MIBR61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.21,82847.6%871 W · 957 L-54.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed MIBR63c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.612856.3%72 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97c7…37adbacked MIBR62c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.466753.1%354 W · 313 L+1.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fb0…20b4backed MIBR63c18.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125543.6%24 W · 31 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x91df…fd49backed MIBR64c18.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1215966%105 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed MIBR64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106150.8%31 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked MIBR72c15.51$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.221,31551.1%672 W · 643 L-99.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.