TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb223…3772

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
789
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Middle East, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 63 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT39445.2%178 W · 216 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 394 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.25
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.47
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Group Stagebacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$60.13
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+150.3%+$53.01
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$10.32
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.6
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$96.09
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.7
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+164.1%+$27.08
LoL: MIBR.LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked MIBR.LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+583.9%+$289.05
LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.7
LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.7
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$19.11
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$77.42
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$40.6
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.01
Showing 25 of 394 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT15550.3%78 W · 77 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 155 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+462%+$146.44
Will 5+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.9
Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+141%+$18.61
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$28.55
France to win the second half?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+81.5%+$16.13
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$21.57
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+92.2%+$20.28
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+71.4%+$35.36
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.93
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$29.7
Spain to win the second half?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.65
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.7
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$6.51
France vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+33%+$16.35
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+117.8%+$14.26
United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.9
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Showing 25 of 155 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT8160.5%49 W · 32 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 81 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+119.6%+$59.21
Will Mitch Marner win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+196.5%+$23.77
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.22
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+40%+$5.69
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.4
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+102.5%+$50.76
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+104.9%+$13.33
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$25.99
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+130.4%+$17.66
Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.7
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.42
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$7.9
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.91
Kings vs. Flames: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Canucks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.5
Canucks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+55%+$12.1
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+150.3%+$74.39
Penguins vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+50.5%+$24.98
Devils vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.4
Kings vs. Krakenbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.4
Showing 25 of 81 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT7542.7%32 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Drip Too Hard vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+116%+$12.76
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$49.5
Map Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (+1.5)backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.3
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.9
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$47.56
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+146.8%+$30.68
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+86.5%+$11.42
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+317.2%+$157.03
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.48
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$84.28
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.65
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.8
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+283.7%+$93.61
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$105.19
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+85.3%+$30.02
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$47.56
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
Counter-Strike: Monte vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT2445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+127.8%+$15.46
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+80.6%+$14.19
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.29
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$21.4
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.73
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+108.7%+$13.16
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)backed Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.06
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$8.83
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+88.2%+$17.47
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.22
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$45.69
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.95
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+27%+$12.03
Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.96
Final Stage: USA vs. Venezuelabacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.12
Final Stage: Italy vs. Venezuelabacked Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$472.8
Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USAbacked Dominican Rep. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.08
Final Stage: Japan vs. Venezuelabacked Venezuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+110.5%+$528.42
First Round Pool B: Mexico vs. Italybacked Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+124.2%+$17.39
All 24 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1866.7%12 W · 6 L+5.0wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+93.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
Middle East — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$8.09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.51
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.52
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+211.9%+$75.36
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.56
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.78
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$10.13
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+502.1%+$203.04
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+249.5%+$121.92
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+333.2%+$666.41
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+87.7%+$36.25
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$9.48
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.25
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+34%+$5.1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+155.9%+$18.71
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+122.2%+$18.77
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+447.4%+$774.37
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Portland Trail Blazers vs. Orlando Magicbacked Portland Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+85.3%+$42.25
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+140.5%+$16.92
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.5
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$28.8
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$36.38
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.69
Grizzlies vs. Jazzbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.65
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.65
Bulls vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 12 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+115.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+107.8%+$53.34
Spread: PortlandFire (-6.5)backed PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+99.9%+$49.46
Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Skybacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+184.5%+$26.38
Spread: New York Liberty (-13.5)backed PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+95%+$16.71
Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-8.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$43.9
All 5 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-45.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+148.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+185.6%+$208.71
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+111.9%+$15.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+288.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+288.3%+$45.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+176%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+176%+$87.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. São Paulo FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$43.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+82.3%+$11.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$23.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$13.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.