NHL · resolved market

Spread: Oilers (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x021026ee402c01eff2f6839e9ffb8c9f66b6b864e0b83c2f8a795d7aa6bef18a

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Ducksof Oilers, Ducks
Resolved: Apr 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $28,793
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $29,079

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,793 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NHL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4488…e319backed Oilers	40c	2,462$992 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$992.36	272	43.4%118 W · 154 L	-16.8wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x079e…599dbacked Oilers	43c	2,461$1,058 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,058.03	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-5.2wins	-0.25per pick	49cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Ducks	58c	2,385$1,385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$999.59	1,555	51.4%800 W · 755 L	+12.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Ducks	58c	2,026$1,175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$850.49	267	50.2%134 W · 133 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Ducks	57c	1,980$1,129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$851.4	2,664	51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L	+58.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Oilers	40c	1,850$740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$739.98	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	-6.9wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcdf7…bf20backed Oilers	42c	1,727$725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$725.32	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Oilers	10c	1,201$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.18	318	28.3%90 W · 228 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Oilers	40c	1,100$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$439.97	229	46.3%106 W · 123 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed Oilers	42c	1,046$439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$439.17	56	62.5%35 W · 21 L	+4.5wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ae4…fc82backed Ducks	58c	999.99$580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$420	243	46.1%112 W · 131 L	-12.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ff8…8a76backed Ducks	59c	999.96$585 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$414.98	62	45.2%28 W · 34 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Oilers	4c	970.34$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.81	2,314	46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Oilers	42c	915.46$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.49	1,434	50.8%728 W · 706 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf984…5098backed Oilers	41c	894.02$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366.55	106	47.2%50 W · 56 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Ducks	59c	788.26$467 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$320.87	73	52.1%38 W · 35 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Ducks	59c	738.6$436 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$302.82	261	54%141 W · 120 L	+7.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Ducks	60c	645.79$387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258.32	2,894	51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L	+58.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Oilers	41c	588.17$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.15	59	54.2%32 W · 27 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Ducks	50c	584.91$293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$291.62	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	-3.7wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1752…d274backed Oilers	54c	549.31$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.63	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Ducks	60c	488$293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.2	76	48.7%37 W · 39 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3d…9351backed Oilers	41c	399.96$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.98	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Oilers	41c	387.16$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.74	418	50%209 W · 209 L	+7.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Ducks	60c	374.78$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.91	59	57.6%34 W · 25 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55f0…4e2cbacked Oilers	40c	373.99$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.59	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Ducks	59c	355.61$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.8	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Ducks	59c	340$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.4	335	54%181 W · 154 L	+13.3wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5303…83e6backed Ducks	59c	330.64$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.56	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.14per pick	59cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Ducks	60c	322.89$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.16	92	60.9%56 W · 36 L	+5.8wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb27…b180backed Ducks	65c	299.9$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.96	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Ducks	60c	279.5$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.8	502	51.2%257 W · 245 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Ducks	59c	279.39$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.55	43	55.8%24 W · 19 L	+4.4wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Ducks	60c	262.64$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.06	78	57.7%45 W · 33 L	+4.3wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Oilers	31c	262.33$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.18	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Oilers	35c	259.47$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.81	1,202	60.1%722 W · 480 L	+51.9wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+15%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Oilers	7c	256.73$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.16	410	50.7%208 W · 202 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Ducks	60c	256.69$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.68	76	51.3%39 W · 37 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Ducks	59c	247.98$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.67	56	51.8%29 W · 27 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…9748backed Oilers	42c	229.81$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.52	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	+2.9wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6d8…ac72backed Oilers	42c	229.81$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.52	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-30%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fb5…b009backed Oilers	42c	229.81$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.52	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+2.3wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Oilers	41c	204.53$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.86	388	49.5%192 W · 196 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Ducks	58c	200$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84	261	36%94 W · 167 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Ducks	73c	183.54$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	2,754	47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L	+11.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Ducks	59c	177.99$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.98	265	51.3%136 W · 129 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce1…a25dbacked Oilers	42c	173.74$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.97	73	64.4%47 W · 26 L	+4.8wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+12%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Oilers	40c	168.7$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.48	317	53.3%169 W · 148 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Ducks	59c	165.32$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.78	88	52.3%46 W · 42 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbac2…727bbacked Ducks	59c	163.87$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.19	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Ducks	60c	161.26$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.39	150	51.3%77 W · 73 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Ducks	65c	160.91$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57	1,846	57.2%1,055 W · 791 L	+85.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Ducks	61c	158.9$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.97	196	57.1%112 W · 84 L	+9.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d19…a694backed Oilers	11c	146.5$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.11	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Ducks	61c	128.08$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.95	811	57.2%464 W · 347 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd2a…8dbdbacked Oilers	41c	116.27$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.25	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	56cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Ducks	58c	114.39$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.2	769	50.3%387 W · 382 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Ducks	60c	105.73$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.29	68	50%34 W · 34 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a45…1405backed Oilers	42c	102.75$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.15	80	47.5%38 W · 42 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b13…13edbacked Oilers	43c	101.42$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.61	71	26.8%19 W · 52 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed Oilers	39c	100$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	119	46.2%55 W · 64 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Ducks	60c	97.6$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.04	43	60.5%26 W · 17 L	+3.3wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea5d…d375backed Oilers	43c	96.58$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.53	169	45%76 W · 93 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccfa…6ee7backed Oilers	42c	96.52$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.54	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed Oilers	40c	94.47$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.79	62	48.4%30 W · 32 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41c5…0b24backed Oilers	41c	94.11$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.58	55	58.2%32 W · 23 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Ducks	57c	93.73$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.3	515	50.7%261 W · 254 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Ducks	60c	82.96$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.18	542	60.3%327 W · 215 L	+13.3wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Ducks	61c	80.05$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.22	160	54.4%87 W · 73 L	+5.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x902f…fb2dbacked Ducks	57c	75$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.25	39	61.5%24 W · 15 L	+3.0wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Ducks	60c	72.22$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.89	85	48.2%41 W · 44 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Ducks	60c	72.22$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.89	152	48%73 W · 79 L	-7.6wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Ducks	50c	71.62$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.81	115	43.5%50 W · 65 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Ducks	60c	71.57$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.63	336	60.7%204 W · 132 L	+9.4wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Oilers	40c	68.2$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.28	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	-5.5wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Oilers	58c	66.28$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.59	115	57.4%66 W · 49 L	+8.1wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Ducks	59c	66.13$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.11	54	55.6%30 W · 24 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Ducks	57c	66$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.12	860	49.2%423 W · 437 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d30…5f85backed Oilers	45c	65.7$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.74	45	57.8%26 W · 19 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Oilers	46c	64.32$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.76	127	63.8%81 W · 46 L	+10.1wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x40e1…65a4backed Oilers	47c	63.42$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.78	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-4.1wins	-0.26per pick	57cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Ducks	59c	61.17$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.08	497	46.5%231 W · 266 L	-14.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05c9…271bbacked Oilers	39c	59.99$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.39	107	44.9%48 W · 59 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1607…2c65backed Oilers	41c	58.82$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.12	41	63.4%26 W · 15 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee8a…69acbacked Oilers	42c	57.45$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.13	39	61.5%24 W · 15 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Oilers	42c	57.45$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.13	110	54.5%60 W · 50 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Ducks	60c	56.93$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.77	401	62.1%249 W · 152 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Oilers	52c	53.4$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.53	450	69.3%312 W · 138 L	+51.6wins	+0.11per pick	58cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Ducks	31c	51.89$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.92	470	24%113 W · 357 L	-44.6wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8896…9863backed Oilers	40c	48.32$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.28	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad8…5004backed Oilers	41c	48.23$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.77	52	55.8%29 W · 23 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa422…d210backed Oilers	42c	45.96$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.3	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d4…ac0dbacked Oilers	42c	45.96$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…74d3backed Oilers	42c	45.85$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.26	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.3wins	-0.14per pick	52cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Oilers	40c	45$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	979	55.5%543 W · 436 L	+21.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfff…3d0ebacked Ducks	61c	44.81$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.53	85	62.4%53 W · 32 L	+6.9wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Oilers	40c	43.73$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.39	498	51%254 W · 244 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2494…17b3backed Ducks	46c	42.07$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.72	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe665…79bbbacked Ducks	59c	41.33$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.95	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Ducks	60c	40.67$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.27	123	58.5%72 W · 51 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Oilers (-1.5)this page
Ducks vs. OilersOilers won
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 4.5Over won
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5Over won
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5Over won
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Oilers (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event