TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6b13…13ed

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
103
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: UFC, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 54 out of 100; worst Golf at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT7126.8%19 W · 52 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+136.5%+$70.85
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.31
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$193
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.41
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$94.15
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.99
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.17
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.86
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$158.18
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.73
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.65
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+250.1%+$307.35
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+132.4%+$224.98
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.73
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.44
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$364.19
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.43
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Aljamain Sterling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+63.6%+$36.75
UFC Fight Night: Joselyne Edwards vs. Norma Dumont (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Joselyne Edwards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+158.4%+$122.69
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Rafa Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$24.6
UFC Fight Night: Davey Grant vs. Adrian Luna Martinetti (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Davey Grant · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$24.07
UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Raoni Barcelos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+251%+$192.28
UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Marcus Buchecha (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Ryan Spann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.36
UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Gilbert Burns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.32
UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Charles Jourdain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$56.45
Will Mandel Nallo win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.98
UFC Fight Night: Karine Silva vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Jasmine Jasudavicius · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.4
UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Thiago Moises · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.93
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$36.75
Will Jirí Procházka win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.05
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.92
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Paulo Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+189.3%+$289.25
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Curtis Blaydes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.71
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.27
UFC 327: Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Cub Swanson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.29
UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Dominick Reyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$48.5
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.29
All 20 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Tomas Machac vs Francisco Comesanabacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$138.63
BMW Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$82.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.