TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,359,190
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,841,141

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,359,190 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 582 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbeeb…15eabacked Yes1c61,673$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2967…bd09backed Yes1c42,261$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.07437%3 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick4cpaid-40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b77…2eb0backed Yes1c42,000$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.1380%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46ce…c842backed Yes1c27,405$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.02442.3%1 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-82.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes1c27,311$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.7123319.3%45 W · 188 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-31.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccc4…5fa6backed Yes1c24,938$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.38263.8%1 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+174.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Yes1c24,924$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.31687.4%5 W · 63 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-63%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Yes3c22,304$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.832729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-33.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd42…30a7backed Yes2c18,914$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes1c18,555$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.29440%0 W · 44 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5c1…29eebacked Yes2c18,315$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd90e…f437backed Yes2c18,126$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50f5…debebacked Yes2c17,794$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a1d…2ab9backed Yes2c17,694$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.8820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9bf…b759backed Yes2c17,334$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x307f…fe28backed Yes3c17,021$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Yes1c16,048$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.43147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick4cpaid-79.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaac3…d2a9backed Yes2c15,984$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d5…79a5backed Yes1c14,917$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168263.8%1 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-67.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5fe…d475backed Yes3c14,471$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.86329.4%3 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick4cpaid-14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b7c…d652backed Yes2c13,949$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.6220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24c7…ec0bbacked Yes3c13,619$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.7450%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes1c13,004$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.04521.9%1 W · 51 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick1cpaid-70.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8553…e7f5backed Yes2c12,556$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4256…4134backed Yes2c12,312$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.1120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf964…f5dcbacked Yes2c11,016$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.6640%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xace3…1827backed Yes2c10,467$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.3830%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bce…df79backed Yes3c10,005$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.450%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8500…dcb1backed Yes2c9,896$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.1320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Yes3c9,717$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-75.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb300…1ab7backed Yes4c9,477$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.5130%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1c3…e647backed Yes2c9,457$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x694c…6c67backed Yes2c9,457$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54dd…9660backed Yes2c9,448$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5b…d129backed Yes2c9,442$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.2640%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61ad…b942backed Yes2c9,313$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b3e…252dbacked Yes2c9,313$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fdb…b886backed Yes2c9,246$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.4840%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ea…7f8dbacked Yes3c9,244$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005315.1%8 W · 45 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+219.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb3a…cd59backed Yes2c9,210$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2815…f32ebacked Yes2c9,133$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3398…0d24backed Yes2c9,119$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.2670%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e06…ef36backed Yes2c9,100$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.3350%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04ea…c67bbacked Yes2c9,065$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.1640%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44e6…fb69backed Yes2c9,059$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.0330%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb783…cd20backed Yes2c9,048$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b58…5734backed Yes2c9,033$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.5620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fb6…8f1ebacked Yes3c9,002$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.7650%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3fc…cc66backed Yes2c8,873$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.5920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa83…da7fbacked Yes2c8,873$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec1b…79d5backed Yes3c8,846$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4439…af7fbacked Yes3c8,846$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9ef…86fdbacked Yes3c8,832$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9812…95d9backed Yes2c8,774$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.1630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f97…7c07backed Yes4c8,581$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c6c…1de6backed Yes2c8,471$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.760%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd79f…6a55backed Yes1c8,457$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.2720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f16…5e2abacked Yes2c8,453$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes3c8,440$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.322546.7%105 W · 120 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17a1…09d9backed Yes3c8,434$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb40a…8787backed Yes2c8,376$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc243…d702backed Yes2c8,376$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5711…2f81backed Yes5c8,337$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.51382.6%1 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-76.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36c2…6174backed Yes2c8,294$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x309d…fd13backed Yes2c8,124$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d9…7312backed Yes2c8,107$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa83c…e47bbacked Yes2c7,973$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.5760%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0758…3a7abacked Yes3c7,856$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.0930%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Yes3c7,674$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.8830%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes1c7,563$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.95392.6%1 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-69.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5435…6896backed Yes2c7,512$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.6130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c7,467$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.632953.7%11 W · 284 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes2c7,361$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.77220%0 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f00…19bebacked Yes2c7,360$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa70b…8244backed Yes2c7,326$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.1920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0493…859abacked Yes2c7,300$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.750%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf256…52c6backed Yes3c7,286$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.3130%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ca8…6051backed Yes2c7,267$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.5940%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91ef…706dbacked Yes2c7,260$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cf2…8960backed Yes2c7,144$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.4560%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7696…84b3backed Yes2c6,996$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.7840%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cf2…9838backed Yes2c6,978$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.0540%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes1c6,959$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.63273.7%1 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-90.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9943…a666backed Yes3c6,879$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.4520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd71d…c351backed Yes2c6,720$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c8…c8a6backed Yes2c6,720$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.6830%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8596…609abacked Yes2c6,642$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.750%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b57…a051backed Yes2c6,415$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.9420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ab…c09ebacked Yes2c6,325$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.8540%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x793b…eb62backed Yes2c6,162$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.0630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1521…6b9bbacked Yes3c6,143$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.8630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06c8…4848backed Yes1c6,030$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4340%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbccc…3497backed Yes2c6,022$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9160%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x722c…624fbacked Yes3c5,985$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20050%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf1…0980backed Yes4c5,949$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.6530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fa7…c57ebacked Yes3c5,888$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.240%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Yes3c5,866$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170244.2%1 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-76.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes4c5,849$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.02671.5%1 W · 66 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick8cpaid-94%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbdc4…821ebacked Yes2c5,802$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.7550%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Yes1c5,799$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.88560%0 W · 56 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.