TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,881,079
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,396,290

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,881,079 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 384 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xabf7…9820backed Yes1c466,000$6,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,379.58258%2 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick10cpaid+19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Yes8c100,000$7,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,994.71156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-74.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e10…0cd4backed Yes8c35,873$2,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,712.64219.5%2 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-83.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd581…2b59backed Yes8c29,574$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001010%1 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-72.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde7c…c933backed Yes8c27,461$2,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,149.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50be…371bbacked Yes8c26,923$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.99110%0 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccc1…889dbacked Yes1c22,950$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes8c18,733$1,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,408.7830%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes0c18,500$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5283.6%1 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick1cpaid-51.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…b8e0backed Yes7c18,006$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.85156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick4cpaid-33%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf17…193cbacked Yes8c17,870$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50050%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6930…6eacbacked Yes3c13,000$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes9c13,000$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.362913.8%4 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-65.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9685…3d3cbacked Yes8c12,075$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc675…2ff3backed Yes8c12,000$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.9970%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed Yes9c11,768$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013130%0 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a90…2827backed Yes9c11,633$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000922.2%2 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick8cpaid+197.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes4c11,526$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.88540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-41.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Yes8c11,500$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.5205%1 W · 19 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-58.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd105…7b2cbacked Yes8c10,822$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-78.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes7c10,157$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.5273.7%1 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-90.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62fe…38c8backed Yes0c10,033$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.160%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes8c10,010$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.64250%0 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2179…bedbbacked Yes0c10,003$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Yes8c10,000$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77080%0 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes7c9,758$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.02671.5%1 W · 66 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick8cpaid-94%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Yes7c9,343$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.21687.4%5 W · 63 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-63%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes5c6,144$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.29521.9%1 W · 51 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick1cpaid-70.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes0c5,689$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.76430%0 W · 43 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca7a…d5e0backed Yes6c5,663$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc18b…2624backed Yes0c5,274$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.82254%1 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-66.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Yes1c5,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25100%0 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Yes8c5,000$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37550%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2b9…7577backed Yes2c4,791$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15d2…b69fbacked Yes4c4,790$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.31425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick10cpaid+169.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ac…8fc5backed Yes6c4,663$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30090%0 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes6c4,601$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.69392.6%1 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-69.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e02…b178backed Yes0c4,484$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2511412.3%14 W · 100 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-55.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c4,378$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.462953.7%11 W · 284 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7803…c9afbacked Yes0c4,347$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10120%0 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f16…da10backed Yes8c4,293$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35050%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes1c4,028$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.69310%0 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081c…f010backed Yes5c3,905$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.121050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x693b…a6a6backed Yes6c3,829$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0571…78bebacked Yes8c3,604$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes6c3,566$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.79323.1%1 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-63.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7b6…cfe5backed Yes8c3,499$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-69.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1363…5748backed Yes7c3,494$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.2250%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa7…e3d9backed Yes0c3,487$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.424613%6 W · 40 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x765b…9a2fbacked Yes6c3,414$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick7cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2d8…01e9backed Yes0c3,400$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8346…855fbacked Yes8c3,207$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes5c3,190$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.07440%0 W · 44 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec25…cd6bbacked Yes6c3,177$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfaf…7affbacked Yes6c3,131$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.36456.7%3 W · 42 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-87.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Yes8c3,084$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick17cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa2…476cbacked Yes0c3,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick7cpaid+142.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae82…ebf1backed Yes8c3,000$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22580%0 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f6c…b40cbacked Yes8c3,000$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22560%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes7c3,000$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.5533.8%2 W · 51 L+0.3wins0.00per pick3cpaid-75.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe488…f2c0backed Yes8c2,944$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250336.1%2 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-86.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d5…79a5backed Yes8c2,915$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222263.8%1 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-67.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f73…73f0backed Yes6c2,891$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca16…f878backed Yes1c2,750$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.41936.8%7 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick25cpaid-30.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b91…ae77backed Yes7c2,602$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.444810.4%5 W · 43 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-76.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa538…477fbacked Yes8c2,537$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20050%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdce…cd62backed Yes3c2,530$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9efb…9c1fbacked Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+78.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c19…e131backed Yes8c2,478$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70fc…8fb5backed Yes8c2,469$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5e7…b2c2backed Yes6c2,460$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ab…b2e8backed Yes8c2,430$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.11160%0 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Yes8c2,424$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e87…26dabacked Yes8c2,393$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19830%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x155b…7aafbacked Yes1c2,300$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b9c…2798backed Yes9c2,295$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick6cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes5c2,292$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.87220%0 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca63…4f88backed Yes1c2,253$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2601…61a9backed Yes6c2,167$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.521010%1 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+31.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb01…bacfbacked Yes6c2,150$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40c4…adbebacked Yes8c2,138$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.51910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick7cpaid-53.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf065…4e37backed Yes6c2,115$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe805…96a2backed Yes6c2,060$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1752…d274backed Yes8c2,000$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick8cpaid-24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Yes8c2,000$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1554916.3%8 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-35.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ff…c345backed Yes1c2,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10180%0 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7d2…15ebbacked Yes6c1,967$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88a4…45e9backed Yes6c1,963$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2813…c204backed Yes6c1,946$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9f…1dd3backed Yes7c1,909$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes8c1,881$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-65.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes5c1,830$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.73185.6%1 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-44.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0a…19eabacked Yes6c1,830$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdb…6b6ebacked Yes6c1,816$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44fa…76d5backed Yes6c1,756$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b79…7324backed Yes8c1,750$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.39372.7%1 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick2cpaid-61.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e9…9d8cbacked Yes6c1,738$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46ec…0b65backed Yes1c1,725$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.38714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick9cpaid-49.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c72…78edbacked Yes5c1,620$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8640%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b5e…4e0cbacked Yes6c1,608$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-66.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.