TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,306,333
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,983,634

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,306,333 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 637 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd57d…80d0backed Yes2c40,428$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.52260%0 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2967…bd09backed Yes2c38,332$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.46437%3 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick4cpaid-40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46ce…c842backed Yes2c36,088$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.6442.3%1 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-82.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes2c35,948$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.2223319.3%45 W · 188 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-31.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes2c27,942$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.49440%0 W · 44 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c60…b19cbacked Yes1c23,946$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.2470%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed Yes2c23,534$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.0160%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf67e…1be9backed Yes2c19,469$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc706…76c5backed Yes3c18,995$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd2f…76a9backed Yes5c18,854$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3764…523bbacked Yes2c18,236$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.7820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ece…05bfbacked Yes3c18,119$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.4630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x809a…4494backed Yes2c17,994$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.8830%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c72…7af1backed Yes2c16,698$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.7660%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes2c16,547$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.4830%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3df6…72f9backed Yes4c16,486$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.4720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc429…51bcbacked Yes2c16,478$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.6630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc18b…2624backed Yes2c16,450$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.55254%1 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-66.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes2c15,600$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.27521.9%1 W · 51 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick1cpaid-70.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes2c14,635$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.66316.5%2 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-81.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b58…5734backed Yes2c14,615$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.4920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0493…859abacked Yes2c14,286$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.4250%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4ac…8fc5backed Yes3c13,446$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40090%0 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa70b…8244backed Yes3c12,356$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.5120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c91…5c07backed Yes2c12,203$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Yes2c11,664$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.65560%0 W · 56 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdc4…821ebacked Yes2c10,803$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.4850%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cbf…026cbacked Yes2c10,661$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.5530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes2c10,245$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.74392.6%1 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-69.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50be…371bbacked Yes1c10,146$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.64110%0 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ff…c345backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10180%0 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes2c10,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.03250%0 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb187…12b9backed Yes3c9,939$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.7430%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd54e…d9c9backed Yes2c9,896$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.0530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc99…a94ebacked Yes3c9,882$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.9440%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x829f…3ed3backed Yes2c9,731$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.8170%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa774…bc2abacked Yes2c9,578$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.5230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5960…2dccbacked Yes2c9,530$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.0720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca5…cde3backed Yes1c9,529$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca3b…6c41backed Yes5c9,492$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fe6…4bc3backed Yes5c9,492$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd5…589fbacked Yes2c9,342$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.8450%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c6c…1de6backed Yes2c9,259$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.1860%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc3…2b56backed Yes2c9,125$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c92…9c25backed Yes2c9,120$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.7650%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf917…22edbacked Yes2c9,079$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5835…f65abacked Yes2c8,952$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.1430%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb68…363ebacked Yes2c8,796$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.8160%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa83c…e47bbacked Yes2c8,732$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.9160%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x695b…5bdfbacked Yes2c8,678$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.5350%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18e9…08b7backed Yes2c8,651$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.0240%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca50…f5e2backed Yes2c8,624$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f7c…f0d3backed Yes2c8,595$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.1120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd114…7813backed Yes2c8,537$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca64…ccddbacked Yes2c8,537$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bb6…2ec2backed Yes3c8,514$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32f1…b52bbacked Yes3c8,503$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46e3…1b2abacked Yes2c8,446$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8010…9ee8backed Yes2c8,424$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.7530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2b0…b1babacked Yes3c8,371$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.6530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaec6…183cbacked Yes3c8,363$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x259c…b5cfbacked Yes2c8,271$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.7650%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6190…af2ebacked Yes4c8,243$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x989c…6c31backed Yes4c8,243$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42d9…6e1abacked Yes2c8,240$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.7620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddf9…6816backed Yes2c8,072$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9277…ba15backed Yes2c7,861$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0261…9218backed Yes2c7,821$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.3220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfec6…9bb5backed Yes2c7,816$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.7730%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Yes2c7,611$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.771414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-62.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f22…7dafbacked Yes4c7,466$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.3130%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd503…e3abbacked Yes2c7,403$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.2350%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x754b…8671backed Yes2c7,355$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d17…1e5fbacked Yes2c7,346$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.5240%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46fe…ea22backed Yes2c7,280$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.250%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5973…7307backed Yes2c7,229$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.3520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ab…fd5fbacked Yes2c7,098$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.440%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd409…4cdebacked Yes2c7,087$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.2750%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7980…cedabacked Yes2c7,041$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.1840%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8642…db5ebacked Yes2c6,876$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.5320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28f7…3260backed Yes2c6,818$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.4740%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes1c6,525$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.34273.7%1 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-90.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c83…b0f1backed Yes2c6,389$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.740%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9672…af70backed Yes3c6,358$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.3130%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x540b…374ebacked Yes3c6,197$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe617…3b97backed Yes3c6,179$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.4860%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a2d…2aefbacked Yes3c6,179$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54f2…b825backed Yes3c6,018$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20060%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a4b…4f43backed Yes2c5,808$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.4250%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3d…9a37backed Yes3c5,763$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.7640%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes2c5,687$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.4220%0 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe224…aa08backed Yes3c5,678$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.5530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd10c…0645backed Yes2c5,674$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-67.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba4…cc98backed Yes2c5,619$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.6560%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e1c…9e61backed Yes2c5,491$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.9550%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b0c…a13bbacked Yes2c5,477$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.4940%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ec1…73c6backed Yes2c5,402$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2940%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf383…30d8backed Yes2c5,394$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7160%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb393…1e82backed Yes2c5,378$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.8820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f87…650fbacked Yes3c5,332$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.2930%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.