Golf · resolved market

Will Gary Woodland win the 2026 Masters tournament?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x976445d28c2493abc8d5ecf1d63255572b5690d2a3eefa1c7920a72614eb4712

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $995,777
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $405,293

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $995,777 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Golf
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x409e…bda4backed Yes	2c	479,088$7,332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,331.6	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Yes	0c	88,347$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.15	20	5%1 W · 19 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25ce…a3f0backed Yes	1c	48,640$411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410.56	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	0c	37,459$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.92	233	19.3%45 W · 188 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf93…e5e9backed Yes	1c	31,903$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.99	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2967…bd09backed Yes	0c	27,512$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.53	43	7%3 W · 40 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	4cpaid	-40%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcbb…4721backed Yes	1c	18,585$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.29	10	30%3 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	+78.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	0c	15,005$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.53	43	0%0 W · 43 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0926…4624backed Yes	0c	14,955$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	24	4.2%1 W · 23 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	-78.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4a5…4dd9backed Yes	0c	11,922$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.69	19	0%0 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8d0…908bbacked Yes	2c	10,840$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	0c	9,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	28	3.6%1 W · 27 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	1cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51bf…01cbbacked Yes	0c	7,000$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.97	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b79…7324backed Yes	0c	6,000$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.3	37	2.7%1 W · 36 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c0b…510abacked Yes	1c	6,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-77.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc18b…2624backed Yes	1c	5,504$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.53	25	4%1 W · 24 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-66.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38f7…41dabacked Yes	0c	5,043$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes	1c	5,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	53	3.8%2 W · 51 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-75.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b34…b454backed Yes	1c	4,982$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.91	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	+104.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…a219backed Yes	1c	4,902$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	38	10.5%4 W · 34 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-24%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2d9…26a2backed Yes	1c	4,630$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x585a…26ecbacked Yes	0c	4,152$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.68	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5387…c91ebacked Yes	0c	4,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.4	122	7.4%9 W · 113 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x855f…cfb0backed Yes	0c	3,954$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.56	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	7cpaid	-38%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc5…ba79backed Yes	0c	3,942$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.77	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd05d…58a7backed Yes	0c	3,750$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3f…64a2backed Yes	1c	3,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	3cpaid	+48.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5711…2f81backed Yes	1c	2,752$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.02	38	2.6%1 W · 37 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	4cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ea…7f8dbacked Yes	1c	2,716$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	53	15.1%8 W · 45 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	+219.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca0…cb82backed Yes	0c	2,518$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes	1c	2,286$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	52	1.9%1 W · 51 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	-70.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9aa7…e3d9backed Yes	1c	2,236$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.61	46	13%6 W · 40 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd28a…fc48backed Yes	1c	2,000$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e02…b178backed Yes	1c	1,830$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.67	114	12.3%14 W · 100 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes	1c	1,500$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	72	4.2%3 W · 69 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-68.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce4d…463cbacked Yes	1c	1,429$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.37per pick	13cpaid	+100%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	1c	1,394$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.78	31	0%0 W · 31 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e28…b3adbacked Yes	2c	1,159$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.31	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb52e…6104backed Yes	2c	956.8$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes	1c	800$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	67	1.5%1 W · 66 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	8cpaid	-94%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Gary Woodland win the 2026 Masters tournament?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event