Golf · resolved market

Will Kurt Kitayama win the 2026 Masters tournament?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0814445075966308d2cc4c505357a1f93cb2a58e3b6f0396be906a225e155ad0

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $545,793
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $110,498

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $545,793 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Golf
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4608…d049backed Yes	2c	134,726$2,258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,258.46	19	0%0 W · 19 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ddf…ab10backed Yes	1c	100,387$1,123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,123.39	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	4cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	0c	74,920$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.93	233	19.3%45 W · 188 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2967…bd09backed Yes	0c	50,945$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.17	43	7%3 W · 40 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	4cpaid	-40%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b91…ae77backed Yes	1c	20,586$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.93	48	10.4%5 W · 43 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-76.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Yes	1c	14,968$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.84	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	0c	6,500$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	28	3.6%1 W · 27 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	1cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ae7…3e12backed Yes	2c	6,000$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.99	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35d6…679abacked Yes	2c	4,167$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	29	3.4%1 W · 28 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	8cpaid	-85.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x687f…5665backed Yes	2c	3,447$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.03	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b79…7324backed Yes	0c	3,100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.4	37	2.7%1 W · 36 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x585a…26ecbacked Yes	0c	3,053$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.47	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e28…b3adbacked Yes	2c	2,585$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.19	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2ca…4419backed Yes	1c	2,496$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.68	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Yes	2c	2,180$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.77	101	23.8%24 W · 77 L	+7.6wins	+0.08per pick	16cpaid	+44%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb78f…58cbbacked Yes	2c	2,041$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16dd…adf5backed Yes	1c	1,818$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-90.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Yes	2c	1,610$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.22	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a18…2d35backed Yes	3c	1,582$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	13cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7099…5781backed Yes	2c	1,263$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	8cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc18b…2624backed Yes	2c	1,132$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.41	25	4%1 W · 24 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-66.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes	2c	1,013$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.35	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	8cpaid	+36.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0094…c496backed Yes	3c	1,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes	2c	1,000$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-74.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0c5…8c8abacked Yes	2c	812$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3af5…9f7abacked Yes	3c	751.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2801…ebdcbacked Yes	3c	673.03$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.81	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-76.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x838b…a603backed Yes	2c	629$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	+104.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa113…93f4backed Yes	2c	610.9$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.22	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-77.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes	2c	603.88$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.07	67	1.5%1 W · 66 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	8cpaid	-94%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes	2c	531.67$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.02	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.14per pick	29cpaid	-74.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf74…aa8ebacked Yes	4c	517.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74e4…9c83backed Yes	2c	510$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.22	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x404d…0f4fbacked Yes	2c	500$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.14per pick	11cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc438…3ae6backed Yes	2c	461.19$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.61	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	8cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe56…c41dbacked Yes	3c	367.46$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Kurt Kitayama win the 2026 Masters tournament?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event