TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Dustin Johnson win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$573,484
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$314,452

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $573,484 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1cfc…b8e0backed Yes0c30,421$126 inLost-$125.59156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick4cpaid-33%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes0c29,720$59 inLost-$59.44521.9%1 W · 51 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick1cpaid-70.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd57d…80d0backed Yes0c18,492$86 inLost-$86.15260%0 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e02…b178backed Yes0c15,156$30 inLost-$30.4711412.3%14 W · 100 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-55.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Yes0c13,768$52 inLost-$52.19560%0 W · 56 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9677…075bbacked Yes0c10,170$41 inLost-$40.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes0c7,500$25 inLost-$25350%0 W · 35 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3fa…da93backed Yes0c6,117$25 inLost-$25140%0 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66a2…169bbacked Yes0c5,931$18 inLost-$18.03240%0 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x873e…4ef4backed Yes0c5,671$18 inLost-$17.98260%0 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf04…70d3backed Yes1c5,628$34 inLost-$33.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd89c…8f54backed Yes1c5,290$32 inLost-$31.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7243…83f0backed Yes0c4,338$11 inLost-$11.33478.5%4 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-67.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb654…602bbacked Yes0c4,270$13 inLost-$12.81230%0 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb236…ca07backed Yes0c4,200$12 inLost-$12.4210%0 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcdb…83cabacked Yes0c4,199$12 inLost-$11.85220%0 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46ce…c842backed Yes0c3,928$17 inLost-$17.19442.3%1 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-82.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe73e…8a26backed Yes0c3,730$15 inLost-$14.92616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick6cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa2…632bbacked Yes0c3,427$12 inLost-$12.1330%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0231…45d0backed Yes1c3,151$28 inLost-$28.49829.8%8 W · 74 L+0.2wins0.00per pick10cpaid-68.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa949…e7bebacked Yes0c3,092$11 inLost-$10.62210%0 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b79…7324backed Yes0c3,000$11 inLost-$11372.7%1 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick2cpaid-61.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea95…8bf9backed Yes1c2,684$19 inLost-$18.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92dc…7916backed Yes0c2,500$10 inLost-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24bc…bd1bbacked Yes1c2,000$10 inLost-$1050%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes13c1,249$163 inLost-$163.34671.5%1 W · 66 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick8cpaid-94%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes2c811.76$13 inLost-$13.4140%0 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.