TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,488,560
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,873,447

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,488,560 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,079 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x409e…bda4backed Yes1c102,729$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.9930%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Yes5c100,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7001225%3 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+73.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Yes5c60,000$2,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,885.34156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-74.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf17…193cbacked Yes5c57,428$3,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,003.8650%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d5…79a5backed Yes5c42,069$2,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,037263.8%1 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-67.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes4c34,571$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.74440%0 W · 44 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd35b…4a53backed Yes2c30,001$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes1c27,090$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.07521.9%1 W · 51 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick1cpaid-70.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc6ec…2b1abacked Yes2c19,983$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.2660%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes0c17,995$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.93283.6%1 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick1cpaid-51.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ce8…355bbacked Yes5c16,808$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.2590%0 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e10…0cd4backed Yes4c16,657$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.03219.5%2 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-83.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49fb…be87backed Yes1c16,511$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b79…7da5backed Yes2c16,334$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.2920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b77…2eb0backed Yes5c16,304$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.9880%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes1c15,935$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.08220%0 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x498b…58a6backed Yes1c15,485$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cfc…b8e0backed Yes4c15,084$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.98156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick4cpaid-33%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2967…bd09backed Yes0c14,710$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.13437%3 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick4cpaid-40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b79…7324backed Yes4c14,610$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.84372.7%1 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick2cpaid-61.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd572…22efbacked Yes1c13,838$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.9440%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e02…b178backed Yes1c12,674$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7211412.3%14 W · 100 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-55.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0cc3…30d7backed Yes1c12,428$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.3830%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Yes5c11,500$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529205%1 W · 19 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-58.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30f1…0af3backed Yes1c10,224$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.1460%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd57d…80d0backed Yes0c10,164$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.64260%0 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes4c10,000$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.96250%0 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0708…2937backed Yes1c9,993$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.940%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33e9…1045backed Yes4c9,936$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8660…51f2backed Yes1c9,703$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.9930%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes2c9,422$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.17392.6%1 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-69.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x152e…289ebacked Yes1c9,402$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.2330%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c6c…1de6backed Yes1c9,342$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.7960%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40c1…2c2cbacked Yes1c8,806$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x543a…f076backed Yes1c8,640$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3250%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe548…a51abacked Yes5c8,596$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.8180%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c92…9c25backed Yes2c8,412$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.2450%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd18f…b47dbacked Yes1c8,350$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf268…d0e3backed Yes1c8,059$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.8360%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a61…575bbacked Yes3c8,055$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.1670%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa150…8cbdbacked Yes2c7,748$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.2220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb568…1273backed Yes1c7,705$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16dd…adf5backed Yes4c7,682$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.47224.5%1 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-90.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4957…32c9backed Yes1c7,547$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3d9…2b99backed Yes1c7,498$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9740%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46ce…c842backed Yes2c7,462$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.32442.3%1 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-82.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes4c7,449$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.24533.8%2 W · 51 L+0.3wins0.00per pick3cpaid-75.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3477…aa0fbacked Yes1c7,374$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46fe…ea22backed Yes1c7,272$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0350%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c7,220$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.89430%0 W · 43 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x962f…94fcbacked Yes2c7,207$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4830%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f16…5e2abacked Yes1c7,135$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.6220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes3c7,116$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.2923319.3%45 W · 188 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-31.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3261…5e00backed Yes1c7,056$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1440%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c60…b19cbacked Yes1c7,044$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4470%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6795…3b27backed Yes2c6,870$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.6650%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88af…3edcbacked Yes3c6,799$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c62…ec00backed Yes2c6,637$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b91…ae77backed Yes5c6,486$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.584810.4%5 W · 43 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-76.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a9d…30b3backed Yes2c6,274$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.7530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf02…f6dcbacked Yes2c6,130$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10140%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e7b…c673backed Yes1c6,104$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69de…7aa2backed Yes1c6,050$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1730%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb58…74c2backed Yes3c5,859$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4a7…7a10backed Yes1c5,816$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7940%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdab9…9311backed Yes2c5,736$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.7350%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e06…ef36backed Yes1c5,638$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2950%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes6c5,635$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.78671.5%1 W · 66 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick8cpaid-94%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa805…27e0backed Yes3c5,618$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick6cpaid-27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda06…75d9backed Yes4c5,556$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25060%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x765b…9a2fbacked Yes4c5,479$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick7cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e90…8becbacked Yes3c5,449$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4eaa…d1cdbacked Yes2c5,358$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac25…a2e0backed Yes2c5,228$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5640%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x631a…309fbacked Yes1c5,227$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x675c…2415backed Yes4c5,222$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235290%0 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes4c5,099$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.19273.7%1 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-90.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed Yes2c5,063$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.154540%18 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes5c5,035$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.58504%2 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-62.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae82…ebf1backed Yes4c5,000$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21580%0 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28a7…ce92backed Yes2c4,994$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7950%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe90…20c8backed Yes2c4,866$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9940%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6684…9cfcbacked Yes2c4,860$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa64d…fd42backed Yes1c4,853$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e29…42c9backed Yes1c4,850$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0550%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9193…a557backed Yes1c4,777$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8840%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b2e…044dbacked Yes1c4,772$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2062…b394backed Yes1c4,701$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3897…ecffbacked Yes1c4,701$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x277c…301ebacked Yes2c4,699$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdec1…36dabacked Yes1c4,680$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1640%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d9e…adc9backed Yes2c4,653$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.0630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75cd…72f9backed Yes2c4,653$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f08…ef73backed Yes1c4,635$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7240%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89b1…d908backed Yes5c4,630$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.1330%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbabf…b511backed Yes2c4,607$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3d…9a37backed Yes1c4,583$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9840%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes3c4,571$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.48323.1%1 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-63.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x315b…b0d8backed Yes2c4,528$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4540%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc96e…1888backed Yes1c4,526$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.