Golf · resolved market

Will Maverick McNealy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x252070a6eb5dcc265558d6b163fdeb867be7117a6d4bbbc095aad55e5085b87f

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $468,990
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $208,152

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $468,990 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Golf
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2967…bd09backed Yes	1c	48,138$455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455.38	43	7%3 W · 40 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	4cpaid	-40%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x746e…68cabacked Yes	1c	40,837$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.2	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Yes	1c	40,205$442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442.25	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4608…d049backed Yes	1c	25,034$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.22	19	0%0 W · 19 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	1c	23,417$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.64	233	19.3%45 W · 188 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes	1c	23,000$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231	53	3.8%2 W · 51 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-75.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8d0…908bbacked Yes	1c	17,137$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfaf…7affbacked Yes	1c	10,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	45	6.7%3 W · 42 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-87.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Yes	0c	8,086$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.8	56	0%0 W · 56 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes	0c	6,920$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.68	52	1.9%1 W · 51 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	-70.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes	1c	6,170$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.48	44	0%0 W · 44 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82ce…dbd6backed Yes	1c	4,545$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7243…83f0backed Yes	0c	4,365$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.78	47	8.5%4 W · 43 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-67.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	0c	4,260$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.04	43	0%0 W · 43 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb269…c448backed Yes	1c	4,167$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4416…55abbacked Yes	1c	4,167$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3fa…da93backed Yes	0c	4,022$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5acd…c079backed Yes	1c	4,022$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.88	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0d47…37d9backed Yes	1c	2,681$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.45	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a94…8d49backed Yes	1c	2,629$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x299d…5c73backed Yes	1c	2,494$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.47	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x79e3…13f9backed Yes	1c	2,012$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.06	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf156…4dc3backed Yes	1c	2,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbabd…ee06backed Yes	1c	2,000$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5387…c91ebacked Yes	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	122	7.4%9 W · 113 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46ce…c842backed Yes	1c	1,727$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.25	44	2.3%1 W · 43 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-82.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes	9c	1,269$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.92	67	1.5%1 W · 66 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	8cpaid	-94%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0231…45d0backed Yes	4c	1,239$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.76	82	9.8%8 W · 74 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-68.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1b6…3eb1backed Yes	1c	1,200$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7245…f1c3backed Yes	1c	1,150$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Maverick McNealy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event