TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x746e…68ca

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Tennis, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 58 out of 100; worst NFL at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)backed New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$493
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,610Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,610
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$56.18
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,410Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,590
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$665Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$501.29
Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,475Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,025
Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,225Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,275
Boston Red Sox winning after 5 innings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$683Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$682.57
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,840
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$798Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$798
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,375Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,375
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)backed Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,950Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$2,050
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,890Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,890
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,320
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,484Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,483.99
Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,167.5
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$706Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$705.95
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$645Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$645
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$756Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$644
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$644Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$644
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)backed Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,835Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,664.99
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Metsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$880Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,120
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$700
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$669Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$668.94
All 24 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-34.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Islam Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,190Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$809.99
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$167.3
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$16.99
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.8
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Bruno Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,558Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+140.8%+$2,192.5
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$757Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$757.5
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$740
UFC Fight Night: Louie Sutherland vs. José Montanha (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Louie Sutherland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,250
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,431Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+101.6%+$2,469
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
UFC Fight Night: Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Santiago Ponzinibbio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$980.22
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.87
UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Steve Erceg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,469.98
UFC Fight Night: Magomed Ankalaev vs. Bogdan Guskov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Bogdan Guskov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$850
UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Axel Sola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,810Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$2,190
All 18 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.25per pick51cpaid-47.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NFL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: PIT (-2.5)backed PIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$409.15
NYJ vs. PIT: O/U 37.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.99
NYJ vs. PIT: O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.5
Jets vs. Steelers: 1H Moneylinebacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.6
LV vs. HOU: O/U 37.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$71.89
Spread: NYJ (-5.5)backed TB · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$99.23
Spread: NYJ (-6.5)backed TB · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$597Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$573.79
LAC vs. HOU: O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,905Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,905
LAC vs. HOU: O/U 37.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,785Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,785
LAC vs. HOU: O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,199.98
Spread: GB (-1.5)backed GB · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.13
Spread: GB (-2.5)backed GB · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.28
GB vs. PIT: O/U 40.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$613Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$543.34
Packers vs. Steelersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$561Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$561.45
Panthers vs. Cardinals: O/U 34.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$468.79
All 15 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)backed Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.79
Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$766Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$766.12
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)backed Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$842Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$841.83
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5)backed Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.98
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 189.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.95
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 187.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.72
Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 178.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$961Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,441.27
Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 179.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$16.59
Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 180.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$30.36
Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 181.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,175Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,325
Team Spoon vs. Team Coop: O/U 279.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,173.84
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,459Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,459.05
Indiana Fever vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,056Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,144
Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)backed Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$6,452Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,452.32
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$770.63
Spread: Hawks (-8.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,496Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,495.99
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$569Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$568.82
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 249.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,144.01
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 248.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.12
All 5 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+151.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,260
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.