WNBA · resolved market
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 189.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cb2c810e4aa941ebce2fb40b1c55666b50386baaf525b01c1f5c1eede760ae0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 23c | 2,905$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.19 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 1,819$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.58 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 12c | 871.8$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.37 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 579.07$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.59 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 45c | 562.89$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.06 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 45c | 435.58$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.05 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…644abacked Under | 78c | 269$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.71 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 12c | 266.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1c…d47dbacked Under | 75c | 261.38$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…49debacked Under | 54c | 259.26$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.26 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…68cabacked Over | 30c | 253.16$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.95 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 46c | 232.97$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.07 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 44c | 212.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.72 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…7bf8backed Under | 70c | 211.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x19ec…2ba2backed Under | 54c | 181.48$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 49c | 173.25$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.92 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85ac…fce6backed Under | 57c | 167.44$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 45c | 142.48$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.47 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 65c | 131.34$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 66c | 122.18$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.23 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 65c | 112.61$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Under | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 42c | 105.64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Under | 70c | 99.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 46c | 95.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 33c | 95.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 53c | 92.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Under | 56c | 89.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.74 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 43c | 86.32$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73ff…0facbacked Under | 57c | 75.09$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Under | 56c | 64.29$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Over | 46c | 64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 46c | 46.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Under | 56c | 46.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Under | 53c | 46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 44c | 40.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 49c | 39.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 61c | 39.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 53c | 37.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1978…efacbacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Under | 56c | 35.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 56c | 34.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Over | 46c | 32.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 54c | 32.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed Under | 54c | 27.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 67c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Under | 77c | 25.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…3144backed Under | 55c | 23.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked Under | 53c | 22.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 66c | 20.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x400f…d22abacked Under | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 189.5this page
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota LynxLos Angeles Sparks won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 187.5Under won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 188.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-15.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-16.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.