WNBA · resolved market
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 188.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a04396a1adcb25871b04a5695a560c0e06754085c2b383c57cc77a5f870968b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1681…5032backed Under | 51c | 5,853$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,853.46 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf08…907ebacked Under | 55c | 4,550$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 55c | 3,508$1,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.45 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 2,779$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.1 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 2,436$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.15 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 29c | 2,301$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.54 | 389 | 40.9%159 W · 230 L | -14.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 2,067$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.94 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 45c | 2,021$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.51 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Under | 51c | 1,914$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.8 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 47c | 1,886$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.79 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | -19.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 45c | 1,583$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.5 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 67c | 1,343$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.27 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 50c | 1,332$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed Under | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.75 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 49c | 977.75$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.21 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 45c | 820.68$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.31 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 48c | 590.48$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.31 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…8f2bbacked Over | 33c | 571.54$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.61 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…a1e1backed Under | 52c | 555.93$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.81 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.85 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 33c | 480$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 515 | 52.6%271 W · 244 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 57c | 413$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.59 | 564 | 55.1%311 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 50c | 358.23$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.11 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 46c | 294.6$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.8 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 268.06$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.19 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…f50bbacked Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 46c | 238.04$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 402 | 47.3%190 W · 212 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b5…2a6cbacked Over | 47c | 225$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 46c | 220$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Under | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7a…f252backed Under | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 59c | 130.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 51c | 123$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 276 | 49.6%137 W · 139 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 52c | 117.67$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 50c | 108.79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 21c | 103.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 49c | 103$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.53 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…4d43backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Over | 31c | 99.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 48c | 99.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 59c | 94.89$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.52 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 58c | 85.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…3373backed Over | 32c | 81.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 62c | 73.67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 33c | 69.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 59c | 63.06$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 198 | 57.1%113 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Over | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Over | 46c | 58.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Over | 47c | 54.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97d4…7b65backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c65…2e0dbacked Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Over | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1978…efacbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be8…26adbacked Over | 47c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Over | 47c | 37.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Over | 50c | 36.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 59c | 25.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 46c | 22.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 50c | 22.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 390 | 45.9%179 W · 211 L | -15.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…781ebacked Over | 47c | 21.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 48c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 63c | 18.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 69c | 17.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 188.5this page
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota LynxLos Angeles Sparks won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 187.5Under won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 189.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-15.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-16.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.