TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb6b5…2a6c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
42
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst WNBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-33.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.86
LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.99
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.99
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.29
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
LoL: Maryville University vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stagebacked Maryville University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+85%+$27.72
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-46.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+111.3%+$71.47
Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.01
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.22
Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)backed Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.54
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.31
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 11 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick47cpaid-70.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
WNBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+31.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-08-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.