TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
JD Gamingof JD Gaming, EDward Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$169,627
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$185,062

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,627 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9db8…2effbacked JD Gaming55c59,446$32,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,740.920546.8%96 W · 109 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+36.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed JD Gaming54c41,953$22,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,301.9712840.6%52 W · 76 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0993…525fbacked EDward Gaming46c25,000$11,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,449.995352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed EDward Gaming45c20,000$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,999.961,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed EDward Gaming45c11,065$4,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,979.221,20643.5%525 W · 681 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf184…c2d7backed EDward Gaming46c10,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,60014553.1%77 W · 68 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked EDward Gaming45c10,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50014342%60 W · 83 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed JD Gaming54c8,095$4,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,723.6820748.8%101 W · 106 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked EDward Gaming45c8,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6001,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed JD Gaming74c6,542$4,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,690.992,49739.9%996 W · 1,501 L-75.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed EDward Gaming46c6,510$2,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,994.5659554.1%322 W · 273 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed EDward Gaming45c6,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.9982352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed EDward Gaming25c5,152$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.9337948.3%183 W · 196 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69b1…2687backed EDward Gaming44c5,083$2,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,242.1330843.2%133 W · 175 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked EDward Gaming45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.9829443.2%127 W · 167 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked EDward Gaming45c4,500$2,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,02549940.7%203 W · 296 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed EDward Gaming45c4,219$1,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,894.3710839.8%43 W · 65 L-12.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-27.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed EDward Gaming46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.991,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed JD Gaming55c2,200$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99046257.8%267 W · 195 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed EDward Gaming46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9202962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed JD Gaming55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90047455.3%262 W · 212 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed JD Gaming55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.9911245.5%51 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked JD Gaming56c1,770$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.6446552.7%245 W · 220 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed EDward Gaming46c1,630$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.84564.4%29 W · 16 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+35.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd723…25bfbacked EDward Gaming47c1,502$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7003935.9%14 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-24.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed EDward Gaming46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6901,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked EDward Gaming45c1,333$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.8521150.7%107 W · 104 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed JD Gaming54c1,198$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.4121751.2%111 W · 106 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed JD Gaming55c1,091$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.911,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed EDward Gaming46c1,050$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.2296054.2%520 W · 440 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked JD Gaming55c1,025$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46135848.9%175 W · 183 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe410…d4d1backed JD Gaming55c1,024$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.6415352.9%81 W · 72 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked EDward Gaming46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4601,21254.5%660 W · 552 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x253e…84e4backed EDward Gaming45c1,000$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45322746.3%105 W · 122 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ff9…aaa7backed JD Gaming55c999.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4503363.6%21 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked EDward Gaming44c999$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.561,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked JD Gaming55c958.91$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.5163344.5%282 W · 351 L-18.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8557…6f88backed JD Gaming55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.0942348.2%204 W · 219 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5055…b09bbacked JD Gaming55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.0913735%48 W · 89 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+33.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed EDward Gaming46c900$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4142040%8 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe548…a9febacked JD Gaming56c876.86$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.8217555.4%97 W · 78 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeed6…ec56backed JD Gaming57c728.96$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.4520649.5%102 W · 104 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked JD Gaming54c684.39$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.682,92344.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L-91.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed JD Gaming55c667$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.1546050.7%233 W · 227 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked EDward Gaming41c630.69$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.228149.8%140 W · 141 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed EDward Gaming44c567.5$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.714339.2%56 W · 87 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c2e…f1c7backed JD Gaming76c562.15$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.021050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a28…ff8cbacked JD Gaming55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.4512246.7%57 W · 65 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed JD Gaming55c533.44$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.0542044%185 W · 235 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07b6…0ab8backed JD Gaming55c511.5$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.171250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked EDward Gaming45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22588950.5%449 W · 440 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed JD Gaming55c493.81$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.8452750.5%266 W · 261 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed JD Gaming55c485.45$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.455253.8%28 W · 24 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5102…7b08backed EDward Gaming46c460$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.61643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed EDward Gaming46c440$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.42,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a76…29dcbacked JD Gaming56c423.21$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.2113764.2%88 W · 49 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed JD Gaming56c409.84$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.788253.7%44 W · 38 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed EDward Gaming10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,29426.6%344 W · 950 L+65.3wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf397…f3c8backed JD Gaming61c393.76$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.76650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f87…2b4dbacked JD Gaming55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.642941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb62d…c8ccbacked JD Gaming60c331.07$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.0736454.4%198 W · 166 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x070f…ed83backed EDward Gaming46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1384755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x401d…23c6backed JD Gaming55c298.18$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.185837.9%22 W · 36 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked EDward Gaming46c297.76$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.1338850.8%197 W · 191 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02f0…c55dbacked EDward Gaming44c295.45$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13011330.1%34 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb496…1f45backed JD Gaming55c294.3$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.445740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f38…a0edbacked JD Gaming55c289.86$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.916852.9%36 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed JD Gaming55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7365063.2%411 W · 239 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdd…cd9dbacked JD Gaming55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7322562.2%140 W · 85 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77f4…148cbacked JD Gaming55c258.18$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.182948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked JD Gaming55c240$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10835642.4%151 W · 205 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed EDward Gaming36c233.11$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.297254.3%528 W · 444 L+46.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed JD Gaming59c232.13$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.031,09638.9%426 W · 670 L-47.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5427…94c0backed EDward Gaming46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004245.2%19 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14b7…aab1backed EDward Gaming46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019045.3%86 W · 104 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f05…a9b9backed EDward Gaming47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006850%34 W · 34 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked JD Gaming61c200.7$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7461746.5%287 W · 330 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed JD Gaming56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8829347.8%140 W · 153 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed EDward Gaming44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8850455%277 W · 227 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed JD Gaming55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9026440.9%108 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf71e…917bbacked EDward Gaming44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8826765.9%176 W · 91 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed EDward Gaming44c199$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5610546.7%49 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2799…b1e1backed EDward Gaming47c182.9$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.671361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x203a…935fbacked JD Gaming55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8213964%89 W · 50 L+12.2wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x089c…33dabacked EDward Gaming46c173.91$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8014546.9%68 W · 77 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed JD Gaming55c169.74$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.386855.9%38 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x24d0…6cbabacked EDward Gaming46c167.54$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.352650%13 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed EDward Gaming37c157.11$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2126630.8%82 W · 184 L-26.5wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-42.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed EDward Gaming46c152.17$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7052441%215 W · 309 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d28…0d64backed EDward Gaming45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.515143.7%66 W · 85 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7329…bebdbacked EDward Gaming45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.543453.5%232 W · 202 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbbb…3df5backed EDward Gaming46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6930151.5%155 W · 146 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked JD Gaming55c129.64$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3482161%501 W · 320 L+1.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked EDward Gaming47c127.66$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014837.2%55 W · 93 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked EDward Gaming43c126.47$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3832555.7%181 W · 144 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x25a1…ddf8backed JD Gaming57c122.81$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.814362.8%27 W · 16 L+7.3wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+37.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4ec6…db1ebacked JD Gaming55c119.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+25.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked EDward Gaming31c113.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2440337.7%152 W · 251 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed EDward Gaming32c113.47$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5723136.4%84 W · 147 L-13.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed EDward Gaming46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036752%191 W · 176 L-18.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.