Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c322c473ddd5f3cd4a38eb1ad37b1a410a432520f4db94f297fcd995eb6179e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0f8d…01debacked Over | 37c | 1,078$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.29 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 61c | 1,019$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.42 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 39c | 627$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.53 | 460 | 50.7%233 W · 227 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Under | 62c | 586.99$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.15 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed Over | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 62c | 496.66$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.59 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 39c | 399.57$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.54 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69b1…2687backed Over | 37c | 365$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.05 | 308 | 43.2%133 W · 175 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Under | 62c | 307$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.66 | 637 | 42.7%272 W · 365 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Under | 62c | 240$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 356 | 42.4%151 W · 205 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 62c | 216.68$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.23 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 37c | 200.38$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.14 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344c…b454backed Over | 38c | 197.37$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 15c | 135.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 61c | 114.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaac…8069backed Over | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 63c | 96.6$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Over | 43c | 86.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 530 | 47.2%250 W · 280 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 60c | 83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed Under | 67c | 75.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 62c | 66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…167dbacked Over | 30c | 59.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 71c | 53.46$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b77…8e4fbacked Over | 39c | 47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 62c | 42.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed Under | 62c | 41.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…fb15backed Over | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8038…9547backed Under | 66c | 33.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…62c5backed Under | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 70c | 28.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 69c | 27.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x468b…68a5backed Under | 74c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb17a…f7e5backed Under | 66c | 17.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?EDward Gaming won
- Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?No won
- Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)JD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendJD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 WinnerJD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 WinnerJD Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.