TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5055…b09b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
274
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 55 out of 100; worst Weather at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT13735%48 W · 89 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+33.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 137 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: DNS (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,362Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,361.9
LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs KT Rolster Challengers (+1.5)backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffsbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$960.78
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,038Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,037.79
LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$579Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$1,123.57
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Groupbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,779Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,779.34
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$386.06
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$994Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$994.38
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,600
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$409.09
Game Handicap: KRX.C (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (+1.5)backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+100.1%+$1,000.5
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+148.4%+$593.59
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+185.2%+$740.91
Showing 25 of 137 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT12226.2%32 W · 90 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 122 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$122.58
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+531.1%+$531.12
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. England: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+50.5%+$504.84
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$575
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$443.4
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 122 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick25cpaid+265.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Hornetsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alicante: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Svyatoslav Gulin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Sao Paulo: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Boris Ariasbacked Boris Arias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Sichuan Blue Whalesbacked Sichuan Blue Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.