Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a01a8945c81e7ffb867eb789cbc11347a777166e6c31a2f4ba496ef1361ec0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5055…b09bbacked Over | 51c | 3,108$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Under | 48c | 2,182$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.59 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 50c | 1,669$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.19 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 53c | 1,460$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.41 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 47c | 1,011$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.28 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 824.88$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.81 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 53c | 599.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.89 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 54c | 572.96$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.2 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 48c | 532.65$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.73 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed Over | 48c | 417.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed Under | 62c | 404.82$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.82 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b1…7e9abacked Over | 49c | 395.99$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.04 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 51c | 376.32$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.4 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed08…ed3bbacked Over | 56c | 350.31$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.56 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Under | 51c | 317.95$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.95 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 48c | 317$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.05 | 460 | 50.7%233 W · 227 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Over | 32c | 308.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 46c | 262.31$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.4 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…3d27backed Over | 22c | 255.46$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.16 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 46c | 239.13$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 60c | 229.03$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.54 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…4065backed Under | 53c | 219.8$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.31 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d89…a792backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 52c | 177$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.96 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Over | 34c | 127.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 488 | 44.3%216 W · 272 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…2b03backed Over | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9179…2f34backed Over | 63c | 116.1$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.93 | 371 | 61.7%229 W · 142 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5427…94c0backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Over | 48c | 102.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…2d49backed Under | 50c | 102$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d0…1a68backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 26.9%21 W · 57 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Over | 60c | 99.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.09 | 343 | 40.5%139 W · 204 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Over | 45c | 93.05$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.03 | 217 | 51.2%111 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed Over | 48c | 87.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8038…9547backed Over | 55c | 81.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f1…3b8ebacked Over | 65c | 77.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -5.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -46%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…cfcbbacked Over | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53d7…ca8bbacked Over | 45c | 69.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x566c…3d03backed Under | 54c | 68.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f3…b3eebacked Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Over | 44c | 64.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 283 | 29.7%84 W · 199 L | -32.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Under | 51c | 63.46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 52c | 61.25$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 227 | 48%109 W · 118 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 54c | 60.47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Under | 55c | 59.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…3fdbbacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b6…f439backed Under | 53c | 58.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Over | 42c | 57.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 385 | 55.1%212 W · 173 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…3c15backed Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 49c | 51.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 35c | 50.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…62c5backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Under | 48c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 497 | 56.3%280 W · 217 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…84aabacked Under | 54c | 36.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 379 | 50.9%193 W · 186 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…734fbacked Under | 51c | 36.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 41c | 30.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 65c | 30.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891b…3c08backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 61c | 29.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 67c | 27.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1b…c38fbacked Over | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb0…807bbacked Under | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Over | 45c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 462 | 48.9%226 W · 236 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Under | 55c | 25.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Over | 46c | 24.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Bilibili Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 2?Top Esports won
- Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?No won
- Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?No won
- Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?Yes won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)Top Esports won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group AscendTop Esports won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 WinnerTop Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.