Lol · resolved market
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x537444ede763ded94dd33916cfe8c24a3f059c0fa05e4ef270d1a4576b30f5db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Top Esportsof Bilibili Gaming, Top Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,429,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,644,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,429,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 761 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Top Esports | 30c | 56,483$16,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,483.95 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Bilibili Gaming | 63c | 40,039$25,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,224.53 | 205 | 46.8%96 W · 109 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…f0a7backed Bilibili Gaming | 77c | 37,011$28,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,625.25 | 130 | 61.5%80 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…fb57backed Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 36,462$22,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,545.63 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -9.1wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe16e…bd58backed Top Esports | 72c | 34,091$24,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,580.09 | 160 | 43.1%69 W · 91 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Top Esports | 75c | 32,990$24,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,146.9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd967…1409backed Top Esports | 36c | 32,644$11,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,874.71 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae6…4f85backed Bilibili Gaming | 79c | 29,633$23,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,531.31 | 672 | 76.9%517 W · 155 L | +87.3wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Top Esports | 28c | 27,363$7,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,590.86 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Top Esports | 36c | 27,184$9,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,262.36 | 537 | 50.5%271 W · 266 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Top Esports | 32c | 26,000$8,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,809.98 | 313 | 28.8%90 W · 223 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Top Esports | 36c | 23,474$8,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,945.77 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Top Esports | 39c | 20,000$7,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,193.76 | 641 | 55.7%357 W · 284 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 64c | 20,000$12,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,799.99 | 294 | 43.2%127 W · 167 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Top Esports | 35c | 19,801$7,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,775.4 | 105 | 35.2%37 W · 68 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Top Esports | 36c | 19,335$6,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,351.55 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Bilibili Gaming | 61c | 17,699$10,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,796.63 | 255 | 46.3%118 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Bilibili Gaming | 65c | 17,267$11,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,157.63 | 460 | 50.7%233 W · 227 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Top Esports | 54c | 17,025$9,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,811.85 | 585 | 59.7%349 W · 236 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Bilibili Gaming | 65c | 16,000$10,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,460.98 | 361 | 55.4%200 W · 161 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…ded0backed Top Esports | 43c | 14,948$6,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,491.94 | 316 | 44.3%140 W · 176 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x017b…1ef4backed Top Esports | 8c | 14,564$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,434.35 | 154 | 29.9%46 W · 108 L | +15.4wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Bilibili Gaming | 61c | 14,454$8,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,816.74 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…38d6backed Bilibili Gaming | 1c | 12,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 207 | 2.9%6 W · 201 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Top Esports | 49c | 11,373$5,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,756.33 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Top Esports | 40c | 10,919$4,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,511.19 | 299 | 45.8%137 W · 162 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Top Esports | 39c | 10,765$4,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,619.01 | 811 | 43.5%353 W · 458 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d83…d89cbacked Bilibili Gaming | 61c | 10,689$6,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,520.29 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…0d7cbacked Bilibili Gaming | 52c | 10,435$5,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,407.74 | 675 | 53.5%361 W · 314 L | +25.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Top Esports | 39c | 10,400$4,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,371.33 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…3f9cbacked Bilibili Gaming | 63c | 9,776$6,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,125.73 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Bilibili Gaming | 53c | 9,542$5,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,094.15 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…47f3backed Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 9,444$5,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,810.94 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Top Esports | 34c | 9,000$3,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,980.47 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Top Esports | 35c | 8,888$3,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,777.19 | 510 | 44.1%225 W · 285 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 8,685$6,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,799.63 | 893 | 47%420 W · 473 L | +44.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…c175backed Top Esports | 35c | 7,777$2,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,055.03 | 407 | 26.8%109 W · 298 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…6ca7backed Bilibili Gaming | 64c | 7,676$4,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,912.45 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…12e2backed Top Esports | 40c | 7,115$2,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,279.87 | 133 | 71.4%95 W · 38 L | +23.5wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb496…1f45backed Top Esports | 38c | 7,000$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,339.99 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7c…70f2backed Bilibili Gaming | 39c | 7,000$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,729.99 | 485 | 33.6%163 W · 322 L | +23.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed Top Esports | 51c | 6,972$3,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,382.31 | 289 | 48.1%139 W · 150 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Bilibili Gaming | 25c | 6,958$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.76 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Top Esports | 52c | 6,883$3,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,282.07 | 857 | 42.7%366 W · 491 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…91e3backed Top Esports | 31c | 6,667$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.99 | 513 | 48%246 W · 267 L | +25.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e6…25bebacked Top Esports | 14c | 6,605$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,704.65 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd1…bfe8backed Top Esports | 7c | 6,500$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,028.74 | 556 | 39.6%220 W · 336 L | +32.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Bilibili Gaming | 65c | 6,453$4,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,221.1 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…0935backed Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 6,452$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 6,251$3,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,775.45 | 579 | 57.9%335 W · 244 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Bilibili Gaming | 29c | 6,061$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.71 | 179 | 33%59 W · 120 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebd…b66abacked Bilibili Gaming | 77c | 6,050$4,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,637.55 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Top Esports | 36c | 6,024$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,835.12 | 475 | 33.3%158 W · 317 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa759…1119backed Bilibili Gaming | 61c | 6,000$3,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,659.96 | 113 | 67.3%76 W · 37 L | +14.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Top Esports | 37c | 5,814$2,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,676.77 | 858 | 36.2%311 W · 547 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Top Esports | 42c | 5,494$2,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.63 | 558 | 44.6%249 W · 309 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed Bilibili Gaming | 65c | 5,385$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e53…534abacked Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 69cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Bilibili Gaming | 68c | 5,000$3,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,404.99 | 462 | 57.8%267 W · 195 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe078…2dbbbacked Top Esports | 57c | 4,680$2,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed Top Esports | 47c | 4,321$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,271 | 621 | 58.8%365 W · 256 L | +32.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 4,258$2,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,621.33 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Top Esports | 31c | 4,161$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,851.63 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Top Esports | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 354 | 43.2%153 W · 201 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…254fbacked Top Esports | 43c | 3,923$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,221.1 | 533 | 55%293 W · 240 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9c…704ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 77c | 3,869$2,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,967.55 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked Top Esports | 39c | 3,804$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,304.25 | 286 | 42.7%122 W · 164 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed Top Esports | 40c | 3,372$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,023.43 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 69c | 3,249$2,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,252.18 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Top Esports | 46c | 3,243$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.16 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc72…c9d0backed Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 3,226$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Bilibili Gaming | 53c | 3,199$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.74 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…acb3backed Bilibili Gaming | 63c | 3,124$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb4…87b5backed Bilibili Gaming | 68c | 3,019$2,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038.69 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked Top Esports | 32c | 3,012$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037.73 | 178 | 39.3%70 W · 108 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Bilibili Gaming | 71c | 3,001$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.64 | 701 | 62.2%436 W · 265 L | -37.3wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Bilibili Gaming | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2627…fa13backed Bilibili Gaming | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d71…a961backed Top Esports | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed Top Esports | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50fa…907fbacked Top Esports | 5c | 3,000$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,845.69 | 100 | 23%23 W · 77 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Bilibili Gaming | 6c | 2,934$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.05 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Top Esports | 55c | 2,893$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.69 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 2,888$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.56 | 201 | 51.7%104 W · 97 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf496…fe79backed Top Esports | 69c | 2,770$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.49 | 305 | 46.9%143 W · 162 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c3…61aebacked Bilibili Gaming | 35c | 2,687$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Top Esports | 28c | 2,678$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.26 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Bilibili Gaming | 63c | 2,651$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.36 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Top Esports | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.21 | 265 | 49.1%130 W · 135 L | +21.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f1…5729backed Bilibili Gaming | 72c | 2,458$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.84 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd4…0c98backed Bilibili Gaming | 73c | 2,442$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d32…ae18backed Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 2,419$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Top Esports | 34c | 2,414$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.63 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958b…50cebacked Top Esports | 29c | 2,329$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.12 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1850…8903backed Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 2,325$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.26 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 65cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…e96bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 57c | 2,316$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.48 | 1,218 | 48.7%593 W · 625 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf64e…a1ddbacked Bilibili Gaming | 67c | 2,302$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.9 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed08…e082backed Top Esports | 54c | 2,202$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.69 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 2,194$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.4 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Top Esports | 30c | 2,187$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.67 | 639 | 44.6%285 W · 354 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- First Blood in Game 1?Bilibili Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 2?Top Esports won
- Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?No won
- Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?No won
- Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?Yes won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)Top Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group AscendTop Esports won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 WinnerTop Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.