TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2d32…ae18

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
137
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: WNBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT7851.3%40 W · 38 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Caty McNally vs Alexandra Ealabacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
National Bank Open: Maya Joint vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Maya Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
National Bank Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Titouan Droguetbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,907Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+37%+$705.49
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Joel Schwaerzler vs Aziz Dougazbacked Aziz Dougaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
National Bank Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Maya Jointbacked Maya Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$676.6
National Bank Open: Linda Noskova vs Caty McNallybacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
National Bank Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Taylor Townsendbacked Taylor Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,520Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$852.21
Warsaw: Weronika Falkowska vs Noma Noha Akuguebacked Weronika Falkowska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$456.72
National Bank Open: Juncheng Shang vs Andrey Rublevbacked Juncheng Shang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$880Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+88.3%+$777.29
National Bank Open: Rebecca Sramkova vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$271.89
National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$437.57
National Bank Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Kyrian Jacquetbacked Kyrian Jacquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
National Bank Open: Michael Zheng vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$311.11
National Bank Open: Tereza Valentova vs Taylor Townsendbacked Tereza Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
National Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguetbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$576.47
National Bank Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Shuai Zhangbacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$196.81
Istanbul 2: Ilia Simakin vs Gabi Boitanbacked Ilia Simakin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$706Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$302.62
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,180Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$581.19
Canadian Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweenybacked Shintaro Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+203%+$406.06
The Memphis Classic: Darja Vidmanova vs Renata Zarazuabacked Darja Vidmanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$242.8
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Naomi Osaka vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$50
The Memphis Classic: Kristina Liutova vs Elvina Kalievabacked Elvina Kalieva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Canadian Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Tomas Barriosbacked Tomas Barrios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT2751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs BORRACHEIROS - Map 1 Winnerbacked Galorys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+88.4%+$353.5
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ex-Young Ninjas (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stagebacked UNiTY esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$700
Counter-Strike: Buster Club vs mokrivskiy Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group Abacked mokrivskiy Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+26%+$78.06
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$53.13
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+87.7%+$374.06
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$367.74
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$353.88
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$311.7
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+212.8%+$638.31
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$434.48
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire (BO5) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$533.12
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+163.3%+$424.46
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$475
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$215.85
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$323.08
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$298.7
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,642.44
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+66.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,480Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$1,001.04
Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$663Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+383.6%+$2,542.31
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Skybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$857.14
Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$544.15
Los Angeles Sparks vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,130
Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+400%+$520
Las Vegas Aces vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Stormbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$192.82
Seattle Storm vs. Chicago Skybacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.5
Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$89.61
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-67.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick8cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+41.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.