TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
G2of Nemiga, G2
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,178,914
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,317,175

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,178,914 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 636 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd30…f316backed Nemiga16c254,745$40,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,509.8112249.2%60 W · 62 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Nemiga32c101,358$32,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,566.731,39638.9%543 W · 853 L-41.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked G258c34,668$20,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,447.267047.1%33 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked G267c24,264$16,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,928.2813043.1%56 W · 74 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe183…62e6backed G272c24,235$17,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,677.92951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed G277c18,182$14,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,181.8233359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Nemiga15c18,168$2,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,810.325,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked G259c15,000$8,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,149.9975758.3%441 W · 316 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Nemiga23c15,000$3,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,449.9841040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Nemiga40c14,831$5,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,977.1625255.6%140 W · 112 L+18.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc5d8…a00bbacked G268c13,400$9,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2564647.8%22 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Nemiga42c12,163$5,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,057.0959839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff7b…1659backed G276c10,817$8,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,630.561553.3%8 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick67cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f62…d989backed Nemiga15c10,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked G275c9,877$7,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,469.2532552.6%171 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Nemiga40c9,693$3,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,909.3166551.9%345 W · 320 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked G267c9,311$6,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,087.8413354.9%73 W · 60 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Nemiga37c8,492$3,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,129.271,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x75e1…a8a1backed G260c8,305$4,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3221936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa69d…509bbacked G256c8,000$4,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,520.7919757.4%113 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Nemiga33c7,947$2,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,654.721,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked G260c7,924$4,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,169.7732348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91fe…cfd7backed Nemiga41c7,619$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1005444.4%24 W · 30 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Nemiga17c7,431$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,248.081,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Nemiga25c7,324$1,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,816.3125655.1%141 W · 115 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d5c…d8f2backed G272c6,845$4,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,939.411741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed Nemiga16c6,826$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.8236742.8%157 W · 210 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Nemiga33c6,778$2,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,209.861,08354.2%587 W · 496 L+39.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed G264c6,667$4,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,416.6529449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed G266c6,666$4,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,272.0917062.9%107 W · 63 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed G259c6,614$3,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,711.7421854.1%118 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Nemiga36c6,326$2,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,294.071,00752.4%528 W · 479 L+27.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Nemiga33c6,229$2,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,075.171,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ac…a2c9backed Nemiga40c6,122$2,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,448.85455.6%30 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed G261c5,901$3,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,316.761,60646.8%752 W · 854 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Nemiga34c5,795$1,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,972.1888746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked G264c5,656$3,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,049.5438054.5%207 W · 173 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed Nemiga47c5,598$2,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6311838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x04cf…9f77backed G259c5,315$3,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,179.165160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d20…a165backed Nemiga41c5,252$2,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,153.266160.7%37 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+23.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed G275c5,173$3,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,302.432,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Nemiga39c5,172$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.147,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed Nemiga40c5,135$2,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,053.976546.2%30 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed G267c4,940$3,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,623.4517162%106 W · 65 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked G265c4,815$3,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,671.0522449.6%111 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked G260c4,500$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80036453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed G279c4,419$3,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.8364552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6b3…9441backed G252c4,300$2,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.8611149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bbb…0ee6backed G261c4,187$2,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,615.85650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fec…e218backed Nemiga40c4,124$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.62751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+57.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nemiga43c3,981$1,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,703.795,47446.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x565c…878dbacked Nemiga24c3,961$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.5920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked G278c3,695$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.7848548.7%236 W · 249 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c95…10f5backed Nemiga25c3,601$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.264551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c52…1a59backed G260c3,326$1,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.279450%47 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Nemiga19c3,240$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.792,60830.9%807 W · 1,801 L-103.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0359…fda7backed G277c3,203$2,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.633357.6%19 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Nemiga15c3,150$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.51,60552.6%845 W · 760 L+57.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe480…ee6cbacked Nemiga40c3,049$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,219.64751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c49…dd2dbacked Nemiga40c3,045$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2185066%33 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Nemiga15c3,009$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.1837946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Nemiga20c3,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60023938.5%92 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked G273c2,983$2,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.672,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e6…23c2backed G270c2,900$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.995563.6%35 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed G260c2,887$1,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.7911540.9%47 W · 68 L-13.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xedcc…41a1backed Nemiga37c2,762$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.1221953.4%117 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15e4…7ba4backed Nemiga37c2,698$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011843.2%51 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Nemiga15c2,667$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,99853.7%1,073 W · 925 L+5.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd01…d95bbacked G259c2,659$1,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.193253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a62…fc1abacked Nemiga24c2,659$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.113834.8%48 W · 90 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Nemiga40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9978639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa803…2949backed G260c2,458$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.3310739.3%42 W · 65 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6683…de6bbacked G266c2,442$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.119553.7%51 W · 44 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed G258c2,430$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.3114362.9%90 W · 53 L+11.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Nemiga34c2,350$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.9844839.1%175 W · 273 L-1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5733…4c87backed Nemiga16c2,282$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.055836.2%21 W · 37 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed G253c2,159$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.7317737.3%66 W · 111 L-16.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7361…0050backed G277c2,150$1,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.5683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick72cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc746…3943backed G265c2,137$1,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.987548%36 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd723…25bfbacked G262c2,089$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.955248.1%25 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked G266c2,015$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.1527452.9%145 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18c2…529abacked Nemiga35c2,008$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.712343.9%54 W · 69 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Nemiga24c2,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4701,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b52…f071backed Nemiga20c2,000$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.07850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Nemiga24c1,971$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47335739.2%140 W · 217 L+0.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf424…9723backed G274c1,919$1,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.3921135.5%75 W · 136 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Nemiga15c1,912$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.4230726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Nemiga15c1,873$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.9659055.3%326 W · 264 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked G266c1,851$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.969742.3%41 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Nemiga22c1,847$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.075,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xebd5…094cbacked Nemiga2c1,837$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.684841.7%20 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed G271c1,668$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.8239064.4%251 W · 139 L+47.6wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xcc57…2b3cbacked Nemiga36c1,659$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60014659.6%87 W · 59 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc86f…e603backed G278c1,650$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.22842.9%12 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-30.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed G267c1,578$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.762,49141.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L-114.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Nemiga1c1,500$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.616311.7%19 W · 144 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Nemiga15c1,500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22524935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e1…b01bbacked Nemiga27c1,484$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.25540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Nemiga24c1,481$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.3825345.8%116 W · 137 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Nemiga41c1,475$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60016946.7%79 W · 90 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.