TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9b52…f071

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
143
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fed Rates, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Fed Rates at 51 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT12649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 126 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,987Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,986.99
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+300%+$224.99
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.9
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.05
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.6
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$91.94
LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,360Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$515.48
LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$52.6
LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.98
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+230.8%+$244.19
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers - Game 3 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.8
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffsbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,329Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$640.9
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$142
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.8
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$222
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+153.7%+$62
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.83
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$273.17
LoL: Top Esports vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.15
LoL: Top Esports vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.59
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$134
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,641Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,641
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+204.9%+$134.4
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.5
Showing 25 of 126 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.3
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 3 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$17.6
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$623Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+100.7%+$627.1
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,042Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$943.79
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$466Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$465.84
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$19.1
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$391.07
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
All 8 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick76cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,233Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+33%+$407.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$570.57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.