Other European Leagues · resolved market
PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb93116b535a5c0899e798f23fbb5379f43ed907308b46dca9098bca245295cb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 13c | 7,461$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.99 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…04fabacked Over | 23c | 7,041$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 11c | 6,211$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.53 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 12c | 3,406$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.22 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Under | 58c | 3,016$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.87 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 14c | 2,268$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.58 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2393…d54dbacked Over | 23c | 1,211$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.76 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.28per pick | 37cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed Under | 57c | 1,010$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.28 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Over | 43c | 830$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.9 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under | 63c | 730$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.1 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 5c | 427.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 10c | 400.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 43c | 344.97$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.04 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 18c | 267.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Under | 78c | 233.51$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.37 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 17c | 232.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 42c | 227.49$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.55 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9133…20acbacked Under | 63c | 209.2$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 49c | 195.12$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.66 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 42c | 193$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.06 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 15c | 163.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 16c | 158.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Under | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 47c | 141.92$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.22 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…00fcbacked Over | 11c | 123.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 53c | 95.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 57c | 95$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 41c | 94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Over | 18c | 89.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bc…1523backed Over | 22c | 88.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 30cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 15c | 85.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 59c | 76.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 78c | 63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 41c | 49.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 59c | 49.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Under | 78c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b52…f071backed Under | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 51c | 39.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7a…ad52backed Over | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 60c | 37.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Under | 57c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 47c | 26.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 57c | 26.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…81b5backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 4.5this page
- PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: Fortuna Sittard O/U 2.5Under won
- PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 0.5Over won
- PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 1.5Over won
- PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 2.5Over won
- PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 3.5Over won
- PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 5.5Under won
- PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: PSV O/U 0.5Over won
- Spread: PSV (-1.5)Fortuna Sittard won
- Spread: PSV (-2.5)Fortuna Sittard won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.