Other European Leagues · resolved market

PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x005f0b1249f06d77b6a7e0b60e3bad0ad0883f369a0103b44f7676f7b9af6371

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 8, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $51,445
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $56,109

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,445 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x34a1…7622backed Under	39c	7,886$3,088 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,087.58	125	46.4%58 W · 67 L	+9.3wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	49c	6,266$3,042 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,042.13	7,889	45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L	+11.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	26c	4,944$1,263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,680.87	5,604	42%2,356 W · 3,248 L	+75.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	62c	3,653$2,279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,279.16	2,012	35.5%714 W · 1,298 L	-27.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	52c	3,513$1,836 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,676.86	2,001	36.5%730 W · 1,271 L	-25.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked Over	49c	2,000$981 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,019.22	57	38.6%22 W · 35 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Over	62c	1,982$1,229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$753.18	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+2.1wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	68c	1,609$1,094 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,093.8	2,640	35.7%942 W · 1,698 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under	2c	1,501$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.02	65	32.3%21 W · 44 L	+4.2wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	+93.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked Over	79c	1,488$1,174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$313.82	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.12per pick	63cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under	38c	1,252$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475.84	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.15per pick	45cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	62c	1,153$715 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$438.17	2,068	48.1%995 W · 1,073 L	+2.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1b2…4bfcbacked Under	3c	1,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Under	38c	999.96$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379.99	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	7c	958.8$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.65	638	49.5%316 W · 322 L	+26.8wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Over	44c	918.86$404 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$514.86	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-3.0wins	-0.28per pick	37cpaid	-79.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under	4c	880.05$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.72	99	54.5%54 W · 45 L	+7.2wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x29d2…7babbacked Over	47c	846.96$395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$451.82	61	44.3%27 W · 34 L	+7.0wins	+0.12per pick	33cpaid	+74.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under	3c	833.33$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	47	19.1%9 W · 38 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over	62c	701.21$435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.46	124	49.2%61 W · 63 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Over	63c	620.63$391 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.63	97	55.7%54 W · 43 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under	49c	615.23$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	93	48.4%45 W · 48 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c81…98b7backed Over	62c	402.13$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.13	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+56.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x156e…cf6fbacked Over	50c	388.71$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.55	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+2.2wins	+0.32per pick	54cpaid	+68.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under	28c	342.56$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.29	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Over	62c	339.37$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.96	74	70.3%52 W · 22 L	+14.0wins	+0.19per pick	51cpaid	+40.1%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0x1f1d…5ae6backed Under	73c	336.27$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.45	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	65cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under	47c	331.62$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.97	256	41.4%106 W · 150 L	-13.1wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under	50c	326.85$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.52	305	50.8%155 W · 150 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under	38c	308$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.04	734	40.1%294 W · 440 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	52c	234.69$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.41	877	45.2%396 W · 481 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3d…4d49backed Over	50c	220$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+2.0wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	7c	219$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.96	110	22.7%25 W · 85 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69c0…30f9backed Over	46c	217.39$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.39	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x460c…b5b5backed Under	50c	213.75$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.91	75	64%48 W · 27 L	+6.3wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	28c	205.02$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.61	207	42.5%88 W · 119 L	+7.7wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over	27c	200$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146	85	36.5%31 W · 54 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	61c	190.47$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.28	1,434	37.7%540 W · 894 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8db…7c68backed Under	52c	185.1$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.17	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-3.3wins	-0.13per pick	47cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x013f…ca85backed Under	48c	168.53$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.57	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under	51c	154.35$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.18	339	59%200 W · 139 L	+18.4wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd04…c5e1backed Under	64c	152.06$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.32	24	83.3%20 W · 4 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	75cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	72c	143.48$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.17	715	33.8%242 W · 473 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa560…767dbacked Under	68c	140$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.2	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	54c	132.42$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.76	892	58.2%519 W · 373 L	+58.2wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over	47c	124.98$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.82	460	44.3%204 W · 256 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over	46c	113.2$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.13	143	32.2%46 W · 97 L	-12.9wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Over	62c	112.9$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.9	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8987…44d6backed Over	56c	110.55$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.64	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	65cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88ff…5102backed Over	45c	108.89$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.89	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-3.4wins	-0.16per pick	35cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under	48c	107.65$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.69	297	54.5%162 W · 135 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under	47c	105.23$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.87	275	54.9%151 W · 124 L	+8.5wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc96…2791backed Under	56c	100$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbdd…bd60backed Under	39c	100$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	143	39.2%56 W · 87 L	-10.3wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under	75c	100$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	-6.5wins	-0.10per pick	55cpaid	-11%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfaa7…977abacked Under	40c	98.78$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under	41c	89.2$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.36	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+4.3wins	+0.14per pick	42cpaid	+35.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	53c	70.75$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.81	2,309	42.8%988 W · 1,321 L	-41.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under	51c	69.06$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.37	351	63.5%223 W · 128 L	+13.8wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under	18c	69$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.56	338	53.3%180 W · 158 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over	41c	64.31$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.95	65	38.5%25 W · 40 L	-3.7wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed Under	49c	61.43$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.15per pick	65cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b4…7c3fbacked Over	45c	55.86$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.86	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	54c	49.68$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.83	911	48%437 W · 474 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under	39c	49.01$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.11	280	49.6%139 W · 141 L	-8.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over	62c	44.29$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.83	187	56.1%105 W · 82 L	+9.0wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under	59c	44$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.74	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Over	46c	37.81$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.31	153	71.9%110 W · 43 L	+15.5wins	+0.10per pick	62cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Over	50c	36.72$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.36	87	58.6%51 W · 36 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca42…a02abacked Under	64c	36.23$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.19	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00ba…b677backed Under	58c	34.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.19per pick	62cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x080a…a7e9backed Over	62c	32.26$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.26	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over	41c	31.19$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.28	408	50.7%207 W · 201 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3b1…0cd0backed Under	69c	29.13$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.69per pick	69cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over	60c	26$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.4	2,543	52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L	+18.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over	53c	22.62$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.63	72	37.5%27 W · 45 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Over	62c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.6	134	48.5%65 W · 69 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Under	64c	17.34$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.03	23	78.3%18 W · 5 L	+3.7wins	+0.16per pick	62cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 3.5this page
PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: Fortuna Sittard O/U 2.5Under won
PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 0.5Over won
PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 1.5Over won
PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 2.5Over won
PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 4.5Under won
PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 5.5Under won
PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: PSV O/U 0.5Over won
Spread: PSV (-1.5)Fortuna Sittard won
Spread: PSV (-2.5)Fortuna Sittard won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event