TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x69c0…30f9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
185
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst Valorant at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT12343.9%54 W · 69 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 123 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$715Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$714.72
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$195.6
France vs. England: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$454Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+225.2%+$1,022.44
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
France vs. England: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$185.01
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$115.05
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$443.25
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+68.7%+$206.08
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+116.4%+$279.44
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+48.3%+$140.1
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$155.56
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$130.94
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Showing 25 of 123 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-37.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-75.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Valorant — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick34cpaid+102.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$158.36
Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 155.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$163.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+86.8%+$192.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Blue Otter vs Contingent Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stagebacked Contingent Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.