TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will MH Hapoel Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,317
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,316

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,317 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44c5…8d45backed No34c12,400$4,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,184.187554.7%41 W · 34 L+8.3wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes60c6,369$3,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,796.812,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b62…5cc8backed No74c5,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3001580%12 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No51c4,988$2,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,434.12,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes30c3,532$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.2311226.8%30 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes26c3,418$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.7527039.3%106 W · 164 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No41c3,001$1,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,778.21,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No73c1,641$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.2269448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed Yes19c1,591$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.993036.7%11 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick24cpaid+94.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes63c1,583$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006764.2%43 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe1f…c113backed Yes31c1,309$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No34c1,247$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.964856.3%27 W · 21 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+27.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Yes16c1,029$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.796630.3%20 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-40.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26096947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2607724.7%19 W · 58 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-44%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes73c958.89$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.992650%13 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed Yes21c916.66$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.234454.5%24 W · 20 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes15c905.57$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.2314637.7%55 W · 91 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No46c791$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.855845%251 W · 307 L+2.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No51c759.34$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.2481440.5%330 W · 484 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No58c720$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.855174.5%38 W · 13 L+6.7wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xac69…3c46backed No41c698.88$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.032835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No74c684.65$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18166150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes10c647.38$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4979532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x851b…961ebacked No36c555.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.563420.6%7 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-40.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No27c500$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36563857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes62c493.55$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.752,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No63c401.63$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.4876941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No80c374.5$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.95662.5%35 W · 21 L+6.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x97cb…c910backed Yes25c368.22$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.94333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes61c353.21$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.113,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes77c350$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.712770.9%90 W · 37 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No30c347.36$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.7733522.4%75 W · 260 L-43.5wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-52.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x69c0…30f9backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No79c330.82$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9617941.9%75 W · 104 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaae5…7974backed No36c328.15$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.021729.4%5 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed No38c327.18$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.195158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bf4…d0b2backed Yes25c320$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804035%14 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No69c314.61$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0691950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes33c306$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.98911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes26c304.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.31,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes61c300$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18320740.1%83 W · 124 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70a6…a2ebbacked Yes62c289.85$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.712653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes64c289.85$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.146855.9%38 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9618…77e6backed No27c274.29$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.232437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26f2…fe8dbacked Yes29c249.55$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.37250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes26c243$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.181,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No40c229.14$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.9120244.6%90 W · 112 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes28c216.59$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes29c206.24$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8165535.6%233 W · 422 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes63c203$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.7656849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed No27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.195952.5%31 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f9c…02ebbacked Yes29c172.12$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57d1…dc9fbacked Yes9c171.79$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162832.1%9 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7403…b24abacked Yes51c169.81$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.395257.7%30 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde39…2fa1backed No32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.253046.7%14 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+59.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes27c139.86$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4745135.9%162 W · 289 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf56…50e7backed Yes72c137.96$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f38…a0edbacked Yes66c133.54$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.14560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed No42c119.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.126547.7%31 W · 34 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+35.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No76c111.33$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7297346%448 W · 525 L-4.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked No62c107.77$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.21580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No69c107$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1731849.4%157 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94aa…a526backed No72c104.17$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.175100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed Yes68c101$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.335066%33 W · 17 L+7.3wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+33.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0715828.5%45 W · 113 L-18.5wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-36.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3c98…4c85backed No59c99.43$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.83100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+111.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0ec…f7dabacked Yes68c99.28$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.43650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa25a…efddbacked Yes61c98.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5553…490bbacked No63c96.18$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.962100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+165.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No80c96$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.28463.1%53 W · 31 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0b0a…e482backed No42c92.64$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.733348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No59c92.07$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7238952.7%205 W · 184 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No53c81.98$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7345348.3%219 W · 234 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No26c75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.255048%24 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb42…0ad9backed Yes57c62.1$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.43551.4%18 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes75c60$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.17767.5%52 W · 25 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+3.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2cd…f455backed Yes26c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+54.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4c9…d2ebbacked Yes65c58$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No75c54.79$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.765549.8%326 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1312868%87 W · 41 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes67c45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2753564.7%346 W · 189 L+29.1wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes27c44.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.181,11435.8%399 W · 715 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes49c44.59$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6911650.9%59 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No71c42.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.435664.3%36 W · 20 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No74c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.647649.4%235 W · 241 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed No32c40$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.26456.3%36 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Yes67c34.6$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.27268.1%49 W · 23 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked Yes64c31.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.421361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f8…99d0backed Yes66c29.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.61742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-34.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5f5…1b50backed Yes66c29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.142152.4%11 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick70cpaid-30.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Yes67c28.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.942774.1%20 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes74c26.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9737750.9%192 W · 185 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1040…ac10backed Yes69c26.6$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.352564%16 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf184…d472backed No74c26.31$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.841266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No53c24.96$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8435944.8%161 W · 198 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x257f…a768backed Yes73c23.29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x290a…0994backed Yes66c22.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.771931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe331…0163backed Yes77c22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.944065%26 W · 14 L+5.8wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+46%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes67c20.65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.914973.5%36 W · 13 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+17.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.