TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x26f2…fe8d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 60 out of 100; worst La Liga at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1978.9%15 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.20per pick59cpaid+37.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$65.45
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$31.87
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$33.95
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$26.67
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$151.68
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$40.37
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$24.71
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.59
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.46
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.49
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$9.27
All 19 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+42.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Galatasaray SK (-2.5)backed Erzurumspor FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)backed Erzurumspor FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Will IK Sirius win on 2026-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$18.56
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF W75 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Women: Darya Astakhova vs Rada Zolotarevabacked Darya Astakhova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.09
Brownsburg: Edas Butvilas vs Daniel Milavskybacked Daniel Milavsky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$26.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$235.71
Will MH Hapoel Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)backed ACF Fiorentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.07
Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weatherlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$12.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 162.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesligalast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. VfL Bochum: VfL Bochum O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.