TailMyPicks
Market

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Spread: Galatasaray SK (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Galatasaray SKof Galatasaray SK, Erzurumspor FK
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,300
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,026

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,300 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf24…fc6bbacked Galatasaray SK80c721.7$577 inWon+$144.344100%4 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Erzurumspor FK19c701.6$130 inLost-$130.3392043.4%399 W · 521 L-4.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Galatasaray SK16c409.44$66 inWon+$343.842,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Erzurumspor FK20c305.2$61 inLost-$61.0487745.2%396 W · 481 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a34…a28bbacked Galatasaray SK26c158.62$42 inWon+$116.79825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Erzurumspor FK26c110$29 inLost-$28.962,01235.5%714 W · 1,298 L-27.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a77…f859backed Erzurumspor FK26c100$26 inLost-$2610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Erzurumspor FK28c68.13$19 inLost-$18.812,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Galatasaray SK19c59.98$12 inWon+$48.2826051.5%134 W · 126 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Erzurumspor FK49c50$25 inLost-$24.550146.1%231 W · 270 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Galatasaray SK51c50$26 inWon+$24.52281.8%18 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+27.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Erzurumspor FK78c44.69$35 inLost-$34.827360.8%166 W · 107 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x862f…200bbacked Erzurumspor FK77c36.01$28 inLost-$27.732060%12 W · 8 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick78cpaid-22.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Erzurumspor FK78c24.45$19 inLost-$19.0473440.1%294 W · 440 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Erzurumspor FK79c23.32$18 inLost-$18.332,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13b8…0f33backed Erzurumspor FK80c18.75$15 inLost-$15425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-56.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Galatasaray SK64c16.65$11 inWon+$5.977,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5872…8924backed Erzurumspor FK78c15$12 inLost-$11.710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26f2…fe8dbacked Erzurumspor FK80c14.7$12 inLost-$11.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.