Other European Leagues · resolved market
Erzurumspor FK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81edd4f00dc932acd9094493591ff828ff1e806d55c19a82ff0d66c32b05e6da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,566
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,566 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 4,362$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.06 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 52c | 2,799$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.32 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 51c | 2,432$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.54 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x145a…5e86backed Over | 72c | 1,667$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.66 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Over | 34c | 854.42$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.92 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x693a…1417backed Under | 16c | 526.07$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 62c | 509.23$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.46 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 34c | 499.96$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.97 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f84…00edbacked Over | 71c | 437.8$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…317abacked Over | 30c | 383.33$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.33 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 62c | 317.69$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.29 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 56c | 281.73$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.49 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…1444backed Under | 66c | 253.79$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.5 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 74c | 250$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 63c | 242.84$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.95 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 34c | 158$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.28 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Under | 55c | 152.49$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Over | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 41c | 137.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.57 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Under | 22c | 86.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 72 | 8.3%6 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 65c | 84.81$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 53c | 73.64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 45c | 65.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 66c | 51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…6f17backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 65c | 38.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddb…a7a5backed Over | 57c | 36.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Under | 56c | 35.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe30f…ab88backed Under | 56c | 35.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 54c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 35c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Under | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e66…01cbbacked Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 70c | 15.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Erzurumspor FK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5this page
- Erzurumspor FK vs. Galatasaray SK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Erzurumspor FK vs. Galatasaray SK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Erzurumspor FK vs. Galatasaray SK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Erzurumspor FK vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Erzurumspor FK vs. Galatasaray SK: Erzurumspor FK O/U 0.5Under won
- Erzurumspor FK vs. Galatasaray SK: Galatasaray SK O/U 1.5Over won
- Erzurumspor FK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Erzurumspor FK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Erzurumspor FK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Erzurumspor FK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Erzurumspor FK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Erzurumspor FK (-1.5)Galatasaray SK won
- Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)Galatasaray SK won
- Spread: Galatasaray SK (-2.5)Galatasaray SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.