Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8196f528e9c150a1c1b6e131febe4effc16e151e2fe2edf29f567ecc27476ffe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galatasaray SKof Galatasaray SK, Erzurumspor FK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Galatasaray SK | 37c | 9,180$3,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,763.79 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Erzurumspor FK | 59c | 3,278$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.99 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Erzurumspor FK | 61c | 2,263$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.94 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Galatasaray SK | 42c | 1,995$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.02 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Erzurumspor FK | 61c | 1,850$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.48 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Erzurumspor FK | 61c | 1,392$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.79 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Erzurumspor FK | 60c | 1,318$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.4 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Erzurumspor FK | 30c | 1,308$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.43 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…5934backed Erzurumspor FK | 30c | 1,020$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.74 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Erzurumspor FK | 67c | 924.56$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.76 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Erzurumspor FK | 28c | 805.53$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.99 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Galatasaray SK | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Galatasaray SK | 41c | 713$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.99 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Galatasaray SK | 42c | 606.18$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.9 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Erzurumspor FK | 57c | 591.37$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.37 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Galatasaray SK | 70c | 565.73$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.72 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Galatasaray SK | 74c | 513$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.66 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Galatasaray SK | 65c | 477.6$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.64 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Erzurumspor FK | 57c | 467.63$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.74 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Galatasaray SK | 76c | 333.74$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.1 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +9.1wins | +0.28per pick | 48cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…317abacked Erzurumspor FK | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Erzurumspor FK | 19c | 199.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Galatasaray SK | 70c | 197.16$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.15 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Galatasaray SK | 52c | 195.9$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.03 | 77 | 79.2%61 W · 16 L | +18.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Erzurumspor FK | 60c | 160$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.03 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Erzurumspor FK | 60c | 131.73$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.04 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7014…41eebacked Galatasaray SK | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Erzurumspor FK | 60c | 119.27$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.29 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Galatasaray SK | 42c | 118.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.01 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Galatasaray SK | 39c | 97.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…b046backed Erzurumspor FK | 58c | 94.83$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Erzurumspor FK | 60c | 78.18$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7953…9fd1backed Galatasaray SK | 39c | 77.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.26 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Erzurumspor FK | 61c | 68.87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Galatasaray SK | 43c | 58.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 273 | 60.8%166 W · 107 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Galatasaray SK | 43c | 58.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Erzurumspor FK | 61c | 58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Erzurumspor FK | 63c | 56.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Galatasaray SK | 55c | 55.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Galatasaray SK | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Galatasaray SK | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Galatasaray SK | 44c | 47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Erzurumspor FK | 63c | 47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Erzurumspor FK | 60c | 46.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Erzurumspor FK | 60c | 34.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Galatasaray SK | 40c | 34.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Erzurumspor FK | 61c | 33.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Erzurumspor FK | 64c | 32.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Galatasaray SK | 42c | 31.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Erzurumspor FK | 58c | 30.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Galatasaray SK | 39c | 29.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Erzurumspor FK | 61c | 26.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Galatasaray SK | 42c | 26.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -8.1wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…fe8dbacked Erzurumspor FK | 60c | 26.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Galatasaray SK | 76c | 25.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d41…abeabacked Galatasaray SK | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Galatasaray SK | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5af6…759bbacked Galatasaray SK | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaa…5cf3backed Erzurumspor FK | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Erzurumspor FK | 61c | 19.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)this page
- Erzurumspor FK vs. Galatasaray SK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Erzurumspor FK vs. Galatasaray SK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Erzurumspor FK vs. Galatasaray SK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Erzurumspor FK vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Erzurumspor FK vs. Galatasaray SK: Erzurumspor FK O/U 0.5Under won
- Erzurumspor FK vs. Galatasaray SK: Galatasaray SK O/U 1.5Over won
- Erzurumspor FK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Erzurumspor FK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Erzurumspor FK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Erzurumspor FK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Erzurumspor FK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Erzurumspor FK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Erzurumspor FK (-1.5)Galatasaray SK won
- Spread: Galatasaray SK (-2.5)Galatasaray SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.