TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x13b8…0f33

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT2875%21 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$33.78
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+27%+$81.01
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$37.09
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$693Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$692.7
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$144.83
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$35.84
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$65.71
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$46.2
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Portugal to score first vs. Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$10.75
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.21
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.51
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$38.33
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$64.11
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$32.79
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. SSG Landersbacked Samsung Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$51.09
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$17.14
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+29.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-56.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+94.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.86
FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+29%+$13.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.