Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50c33ee802d0d87eaf3b1fec6a8b87c082d133329ae95df194ea5b029881bd40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spirit Academyof Team Lynx, Spirit Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,675
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,675 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Lynx | 41c | 13,385$5,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,513.95 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Spirit Academy | 51c | 8,680$4,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,220.84 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Spirit Academy | 53c | 5,591$2,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,624.19 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Spirit Academy | 54c | 4,502$2,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.45 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Team Lynx | 47c | 3,806$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771.74 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Team Lynx | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Spirit Academy | 50c | 2,071$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.75 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed Team Lynx | 50c | 1,970$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.08 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Team Lynx | 47c | 1,749$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.96 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Team Lynx | 44c | 1,621$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.73 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ee…ffe2backed Spirit Academy | 61c | 1,255$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.63 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Team Lynx | 53c | 1,244$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.81 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Team Lynx | 41c | 1,075$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.85 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Spirit Academy | 57c | 1,046$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.79 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Lynx | 50c | 1,001$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spirit Academy | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Team Lynx | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Team Lynx | 49c | 966$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.98 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Team Lynx | 53c | 945.01$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Team Lynx | 3c | 893.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Spirit Academy | 46c | 814.56$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.94 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Team Lynx | 45c | 785.71$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Spirit Academy | 59c | 753.87$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.21 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…4287backed Team Lynx | 52c | 697.46$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Lynx | 23c | 695.04$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.63 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Team Lynx | 43c | 691.74$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.3 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…6ba4backed Team Lynx | 48c | 620$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.6 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…fd7fbacked Spirit Academy | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Spirit Academy | 58c | 585.58$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.57 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Lynx | 48c | 532.14$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.98 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Team Lynx | 55c | 528.63$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.58 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…8440backed Spirit Academy | 58c | 500$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe222…6019backed Spirit Academy | 57c | 488.39$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.31 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Spirit Academy | 51c | 485.74$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.02 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…bb76backed Team Lynx | 50c | 426$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Team Lynx | 53c | 400.39$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.65 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Spirit Academy | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Spirit Academy | 58c | 360.76$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.63 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Spirit Academy | 78c | 330.02$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.23 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Lynx | 38c | 311$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.18 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed03…1caabacked Team Lynx | 44c | 299.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59cb…57d1backed Spirit Academy | 52c | 287.09$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.81 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6f…1284backed Team Lynx | 11c | 250$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Spirit Academy | 48c | 239.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.79 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed Spirit Academy | 57c | 232$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.76 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Spirit Academy | 52c | 215.29$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.95 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…0f33backed Spirit Academy | 48c | 208.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Spirit Academy | 48c | 207$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.64 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Spirit Academy | 60c | 204.68$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.96 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7f…33b5backed Team Lynx | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.87 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked Spirit Academy | 47c | 180$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Spirit Academy | 56c | 178.49$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.32 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x631a…a80fbacked Spirit Academy | 57c | 176.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.47 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b0…2c88backed Spirit Academy | 46c | 140.39$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked Spirit Academy | 44c | 139.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.39 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…4df1backed Team Lynx | 48c | 138.66$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Spirit Academy | 53c | 134.4$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.17 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Team Lynx | 30c | 130.61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Team Lynx | 48c | 130$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Team Lynx | 42c | 128.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.22 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Team Lynx | 37c | 123.52$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Spirit Academy | 49c | 121$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.24 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spirit Academy | 54c | 118.29$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.28 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3f…6816backed Team Lynx | 37c | 105.61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked Team Lynx | 41c | 104.46$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed Spirit Academy | 77c | 100.34$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e6…05f4backed Team Lynx | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 132 | 68.2%90 W · 42 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed Spirit Academy | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 253 | 54.5%138 W · 115 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Spirit Academy | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f25…d5debacked Spirit Academy | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Spirit Academy | 74c | 94.46$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Spirit Academy | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6a…5957backed Spirit Academy | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56a…0c8dbacked Team Lynx | 48c | 75.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ae…84d8backed Spirit Academy | 50c | 72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad8a…a98abacked Spirit Academy | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Spirit Academy | 53c | 69.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…b4fbbacked Spirit Academy | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa8…efa7backed Spirit Academy | 47c | 62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Lynx | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked Spirit Academy | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Team Lynx | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Spirit Academy | 51c | 58.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Team Lynx | 47c | 58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Spirit Academy | 56c | 56.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 286 | 50%143 W · 143 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5f…31d1backed Spirit Academy | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b39…8593backed Spirit Academy | 54c | 52.59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Team Lynx | 23c | 51.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Team Lynx | 25c | 51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d1…6194backed Spirit Academy | 58c | 50.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7160…cce2backed Spirit Academy | 58c | 50.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd1…ed4bbacked Spirit Academy | 58c | 50.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe04…a198backed Spirit Academy | 59c | 50.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked Spirit Academy | 58c | 50.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…203abacked Spirit Academy | 59c | 50.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48a…ef6fbacked Spirit Academy | 58c | 50.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4385…5560backed Spirit Academy | 59c | 50.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d4…a3d5backed Spirit Academy | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked Spirit Academy | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Spirit Academy | 61c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group ASpirit Academy won
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 WinnerTeam Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.