TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe1e6…05f4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
154
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Dota2, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 57 out of 100; worst Valorant at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT13268.2%90 W · 42 L+10.6wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 132 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$259
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$150.26
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+132.7%+$199.06
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+72.9%+$125.03
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+52%+$156
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$107.69
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+109.2%+$27.3
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$22.5
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.83
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.83
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.5
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+69.9%+$189.04
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$46.92
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$38.18
Showing 25 of 132 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT1968.4%13 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick71cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 6backed 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$38.75
Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Butterfly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+46%+$173.64
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$87.72
Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.61
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs ECHO - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$18.82
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.56
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.61
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$17.97
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$14.05
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs ECHO - Map 1 Winnerbacked ECHO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$15.28
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Dbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$8.55
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.62
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-30.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$30.73
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.