CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04cadb7bd569ba62a6240fe4dbd85040c8e78f43ba6eeade06ddbe810774c2b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Butterflyof Butterfly, ex-RUSTEC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked ex-RUSTEC | 43c | 13,285$5,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,712.5 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Butterfly | 61c | 11,569$7,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,506.42 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Butterfly | 57c | 6,004$3,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,581.8 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked ex-RUSTEC | 40c | 5,487$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,171.94 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Butterfly | 57c | 5,286$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,285.64 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd00…952dbacked ex-RUSTEC | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Butterfly | 57c | 2,447$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.36 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Butterfly | 54c | 1,810$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.03 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked ex-RUSTEC | 38c | 1,808$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.16 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ex-RUSTEC | 44c | 1,559$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.77 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8045…9116backed Butterfly | 56c | 1,517$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.33 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f17…6001backed Butterfly | 46c | 1,404$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.05 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked ex-RUSTEC | 46c | 1,363$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.98 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41d1…bac0backed Butterfly | 57c | 1,325$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.54 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ex-RUSTEC | 33c | 1,071$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.7 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Butterfly | 52c | 1,056$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.82 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4723…5f64backed ex-RUSTEC | 48c | 978.52$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.42 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked ex-RUSTEC | 55c | 912.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0993…525fbacked ex-RUSTEC | 43c | 910.98$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.72 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed ex-RUSTEC | 37c | 903.11$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.14 | 199 | 53.8%107 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed ex-RUSTEC | 46c | 840.48$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.51 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed ex-RUSTEC | 44c | 783.17$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.59 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Butterfly | 56c | 716.56$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.01 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c25…cafebacked Butterfly | 57c | 706.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.23 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…34fbbacked ex-RUSTEC | 39c | 553.79$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.98 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e6…05f4backed Butterfly | 68c | 551$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.64 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked ex-RUSTEC | 45c | 547.71$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.64 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…7348backed Butterfly | 63c | 535.43$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.83 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Butterfly | 53c | 514.59$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.02 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-RUSTEC | 27c | 504.13$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed ex-RUSTEC | 45c | 485.56$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.47 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Butterfly | 77c | 484.61$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.37 | 222 | 41.4%92 W · 130 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd68…0f6bbacked Butterfly | 52c | 461$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.69 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…0927backed ex-RUSTEC | 45c | 440.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581c…a595backed ex-RUSTEC | 41c | 439.45$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed ex-RUSTEC | 43c | 416.72$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.02 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked ex-RUSTEC | 50c | 399.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Butterfly | 32c | 399.64$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.86 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ce…11a2backed ex-RUSTEC | 36c | 393.91$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.41 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Butterfly | 68c | 378.24$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.76 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b94…9c0dbacked Butterfly | 80c | 371.14$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.33 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed Butterfly | 55c | 357.36$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.81 | 470 | 54%254 W · 216 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Butterfly | 57c | 332.63$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.03 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Butterfly | 57c | 326.96$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.59 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…1a3abacked Butterfly | 40c | 313.34$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.34 | 83 | 12%10 W · 73 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…a065backed ex-RUSTEC | 35c | 303.63$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.27 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…2e8ebacked ex-RUSTEC | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-RUSTEC | 46c | 301.68$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed ex-RUSTEC | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed ex-RUSTEC | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed ex-RUSTEC | 37c | 297.35$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.11 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Butterfly | 55c | 292.15$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.86 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…889fbacked Butterfly | 75c | 270.28$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.78 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Butterfly | 55c | 263.53$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.38 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed ex-RUSTEC | 44c | 259.93$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.37 | 445 | 52.4%233 W · 212 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked ex-RUSTEC | 45c | 252.56$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.33 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…971ebacked Butterfly | 40c | 249.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.77 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ex-RUSTEC | 14c | 244.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…9622backed ex-RUSTEC | 45c | 229.98$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.91 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Butterfly | 63c | 220.02$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.37 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed ex-RUSTEC | 41c | 211.23$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.1 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Butterfly | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…76fabacked ex-RUSTEC | 46c | 200$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.18 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-RUSTEC | 44c | 193.52$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.43 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked ex-RUSTEC | 47c | 178.49$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.41 | 422 | 55.7%235 W · 187 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Butterfly | 28c | 178.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.43 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed ex-RUSTEC | 44c | 177$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.23 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed ex-RUSTEC | 43c | 175.98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.67 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b00…c13cbacked Butterfly | 58c | 172.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed Butterfly | 63c | 160$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 414 | 75.4%312 W · 102 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed ex-RUSTEC | 40c | 159.82$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.35 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked ex-RUSTEC | 33c | 151.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf404…daaabacked Butterfly | 55c | 149.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.49 | 99 | 33.3%33 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed Butterfly | 56c | 148.95$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.85 | 557 | 49.7%277 W · 280 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed ex-RUSTEC | 37c | 145.96$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 135 | 37%50 W · 85 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa955…7487backed ex-RUSTEC | 20c | 144.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 28cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed ex-RUSTEC | 40c | 141.46$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed ex-RUSTEC | 40c | 139.75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.22 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Butterfly | 58c | 139.6$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.06 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Butterfly | 61c | 133.73$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d99…9c27backed ex-RUSTEC | 45c | 133.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Butterfly | 76c | 128.05$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5785…e5cbbacked ex-RUSTEC | 44c | 127.14$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.94 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed ex-RUSTEC | 40c | 118.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 242 | 60.3%146 W · 96 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Butterfly | 56c | 116$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-RUSTEC | 37c | 112.18$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…a099backed ex-RUSTEC | 39c | 109.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef30…e949backed Butterfly | 56c | 107$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed ex-RUSTEC | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 190 | 61.6%117 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed ex-RUSTEC | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc79b…b9eebacked Butterfly | 52c | 94.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.27 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Butterfly | 49c | 93.66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.51 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Butterfly | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8961…64cebacked ex-RUSTEC | 44c | 91.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 242 | 55.8%135 W · 107 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Butterfly | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Butterfly | 56c | 88.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked ex-RUSTEC | 46c | 87.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1273…8eddbacked ex-RUSTEC | 45c | 85.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked ex-RUSTEC | 38c | 85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed ex-RUSTEC | 39c | 82.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 1 WinnerButterfly won
- Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winnerex-RUSTEC won
- Map Handicap: BTF (-1.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+1.5)ex-RUSTEC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.