TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb361…7348

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
211
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NFL, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 51 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10953.2%58 W · 51 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 109 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays winning after 5 innings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+124.4%+$62.19
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$511Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$271.41
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$18.42
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.66
Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+57.2%+$138.93
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+76.1%+$259.37
New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$242.18
New York Mets vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: Tied after 5 innings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$184.06
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$274
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+92.4%+$133.94
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 109 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT5754.4%31 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs Filsbacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Kenta Miyoshibacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$250.78
Set 2 Winner: Balshaw vs Powbacked Balshaw · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$58.15
ITF M15 Båstad Men: Leo Borg vs John Hallquist Lithenbacked John Hallquist Lithen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$328.65
Cancun: Moez Echargui vs Moise Kouamebacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.55
Set 2 Winner: Musetti vs Tiafoebacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+98.2%+$98.2
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoebacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Set 1 Winner: Musetti vs Tiafoebacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$225.47
Quebec City: Zizou Bergs vs Stefanos Sakellaridisbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$361.33
Kingston: Valentin Royer vs Clement Chidekhbacked Clement Chidekh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.94
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Kingston: Juan Carlos Prado vs Pedro Martinezbacked Juan Carlos Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.27
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobollibacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Quebec City: Rei Sakamoto vs Luca Van Asschebacked Rei Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.87
Cincinnati Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$137.4
Set 2 Winner: Anisimova vs Pegulabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Sion: Benjamin Hassan vs Geoffrey Blancaneauxbacked Geoffrey Blancaneaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.92
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Dimitar Kuzmanovbacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$105.47
ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Patricia Georgiana Goina vs Marie Mettrauxbacked Marie Mettraux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$48.37
Set 2 Winner: Sabalenka vs Bejlekbacked Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+348%+$348.01
Set 1 Winner: Sabalenka vs Bejlekbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Kingston: Max Purcell vs Harold Mayotbacked Harold Mayot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$66.67
Set 2 Winner: Zverev vs Paulbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Set 1 Winner: Milavsky vs Sakamotobacked Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Todi: Maxim Mrva vs Federico Agustin Gomezbacked Federico Agustin Gomez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Color (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Metizport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Color - Map 1 Winnerbacked Metizport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$82.09
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$373.27
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs SPARTA - Map 1 Winnerbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$525
Counter-Strike: Time Waves vs Arcade Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Arcade Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$473
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffsbacked Black Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$294.53
Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Butterfly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$199.83
Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winnerbacked Butterfly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$411.74
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$89.42
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs fnatic - Map 1 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+52.6%+$241.87
Counter-Strike: Arcade Esports vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #6 Group Bbacked Abyssal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$55.81
All 13 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFLlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorantlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.