TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vici Gamingof HULIGANI, Vici Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$898,658
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,040,338

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $898,658 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 617 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x631a…a80fbacked HULIGANI0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020542.9%88 W · 117 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed Vici Gaming65c44,650$29,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,471.441,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Vici Gaming78c34,420$26,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,615.5571143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aec…4ce9backed Vici Gaming72c20,260$14,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,667.1230667.3%206 W · 100 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa103…1c14backed HULIGANI29c20,000$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,799.997548%36 W · 39 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked HULIGANI49c19,524$9,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,50053451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked HULIGANI20c12,237$2,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,433.150850.8%258 W · 250 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd61a…708bbacked HULIGANI29c12,236$3,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,604.114151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadea…b96dbacked HULIGANI17c12,050$2,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,074.79731.4%1 W · 72 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick11cpaid-91.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked HULIGANI49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,899.9724246.7%113 W · 129 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d36…f787backed HULIGANI21c10,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.991450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed Vici Gaming54c9,853$5,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,532.5111653.4%62 W · 54 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked HULIGANI40c8,386$3,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,320.531936.7%117 W · 202 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde24…4dedbacked HULIGANI44c7,917$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50019853%105 W · 93 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked HULIGANI30c7,836$2,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,383.9617452.3%91 W · 83 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a56…10f5backed HULIGANI22c7,785$1,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,686.5418551.4%95 W · 90 L+11.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed HULIGANI29c7,561$2,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,167.1669644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Vici Gaming37c7,529$2,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,749.571,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked HULIGANI19c7,464$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,438.361,17943.1%508 W · 671 L+41.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84fb…675ebacked Vici Gaming49c7,264$3,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,680.195834.5%20 W · 38 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked HULIGANI19c7,200$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.3689341.5%371 W · 522 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8992…ed1fbacked HULIGANI21c7,100$1,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,511.996050%30 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04f6…f24abacked Vici Gaming34c6,902$2,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,559.5150347.1%237 W · 266 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked HULIGANI34c6,100$2,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,089.9980056%448 W · 352 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Vici Gaming76c6,018$4,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,429.4789749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked HULIGANI69c6,000$4,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,153.585339.6%21 W · 32 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-31.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked HULIGANI19c5,661$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.681540%6 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b26…6091backed HULIGANI17c5,592$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.494030%12 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Vici Gaming75c5,330$4,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,314.9568649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc3f…5e0dbacked Vici Gaming63c5,317$3,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.56581.5%53 W · 12 L+10.2wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+23.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked Vici Gaming54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,300875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+41.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Vici Gaming78c4,999$3,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.981,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xedfc…b7b1backed HULIGANI16c4,646$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.768348.2%40 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Vici Gaming79c4,492$3,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.5117648.3%85 W · 91 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ff1…2dd7backed Vici Gaming50c4,400$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2003348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde27…d27cbacked Vici Gaming79c4,310$3,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.61631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.24per pick55cpaid-39.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Vici Gaming50c4,084$2,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,041.8572035.1%253 W · 467 L-24.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bd…bbc5backed Vici Gaming49c4,042$1,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,046.0753764.4%346 W · 191 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed HULIGANI49c4,041$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.6965647.3%310 W · 346 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed HULIGANI20c4,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80081029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0e1…b9b4backed HULIGANI43c4,000$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.999852%51 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Vici Gaming57c3,992$2,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,715.3937146.4%172 W · 199 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce20…0b7bbacked HULIGANI48c3,890$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,870.0812060.8%73 W · 47 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d9d…3c52backed HULIGANI46c3,800$1,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7481338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked HULIGANI4c3,750$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1658223.2%19 W · 63 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-23.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53b2…9f96backed HULIGANI59c3,652$2,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1668658.1%50 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed HULIGANI25c3,478$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.4847450.8%241 W · 233 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aa0…ca20backed HULIGANI44c3,440$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c01…e7d0backed HULIGANI32c3,333$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.5512350.4%62 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Vici Gaming69c3,307$2,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.2436041.4%149 W · 211 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f04…1fb0backed HULIGANI46c3,250$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5009658.3%56 W · 40 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Vici Gaming68c3,216$2,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.4618844.7%84 W · 104 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c7…42e7backed HULIGANI21c3,212$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.2210256.9%58 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ba7…9c8abacked HULIGANI17c3,130$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.788020%16 W · 64 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked HULIGANI32c3,022$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.6194442.3%399 W · 545 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Vici Gaming68c3,016$2,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.1178541.7%327 W · 458 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba03…0486backed Vici Gaming30c3,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1007234.7%25 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x63bc…4179backed Vici Gaming30c3,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.988834.1%30 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x559b…4959backed HULIGANI44c2,900$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275.998143.2%35 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Vici Gaming72c2,782$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.089556.8%54 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed HULIGANI16c2,766$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.0288539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed HULIGANI25c2,756$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.8850832.9%167 W · 341 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3de…6fe8backed HULIGANI80c2,753$2,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,202.5410075%75 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3bc…5bd2backed Vici Gaming71c2,642$1,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.0713943.9%61 W · 78 L-11.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbbd9…de31backed Vici Gaming79c2,532$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.6514258.5%83 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ca…8f43backed Vici Gaming68c2,467$1,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.7510544.8%47 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed HULIGANI18c2,429$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.1541056.8%233 W · 177 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60dd…40e5backed HULIGANI45c2,399$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.9833453%177 W · 157 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x96d7…3a17backed HULIGANI32c2,339$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.485438.9%21 W · 33 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Vici Gaming65c2,334$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.0287838.3%336 W · 542 L-42.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Vici Gaming79c2,213$1,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.6235850.6%181 W · 177 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed HULIGANI29c2,183$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.0721146.9%99 W · 112 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed HULIGANI43c2,181$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.1592846.2%429 W · 499 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2931…7b81backed HULIGANI39c2,121$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.6818560.5%112 W · 73 L+12.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7525…fd3cbacked HULIGANI25c2,091$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.598254.9%45 W · 37 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Vici Gaming60c2,044$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.9756545%254 W · 311 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5f6…38e8backed HULIGANI2c2,042$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343243.1%10 W · 314 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-56.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked HULIGANI33c2,029$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.5861256%343 W · 269 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5944…764ebacked HULIGANI70c2,024$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420.323050%15 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb69…cfd1backed HULIGANI75c2,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50030356.4%171 W · 132 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08cf…22b9backed Vici Gaming63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.9953758.8%316 W · 221 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked HULIGANI28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.9969235.3%244 W · 448 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x484f…de32backed Vici Gaming79c1,991$1,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-47.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked HULIGANI68c1,964$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.496266.1%41 W · 21 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Vici Gaming76c1,919$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.1177256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86ee…ef1fbacked HULIGANI39c1,856$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7156470.3%45 W · 19 L+9.0wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+20.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x237e…388abacked HULIGANI74c1,848$1,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,366.55616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick54cpaid-61%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked HULIGANI74c1,812$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.0829160.1%175 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed HULIGANI29c1,800$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52258744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed HULIGANI70c1,800$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,264.4651364.9%333 W · 180 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked HULIGANI30c1,660$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.182828.6%8 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-48.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c9c…e006backed HULIGANI71c1,651$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.7322663.3%143 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6876…8dc9backed HULIGANI73c1,641$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001080%8 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bcc…b4fabacked Vici Gaming62c1,609$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.9116959.2%100 W · 69 L+14.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed HULIGANI32c1,520$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.2126540.8%108 W · 157 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d8a…f907backed HULIGANI31c1,520$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.214136.9%52 W · 89 L-13.3wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x081c…5de0backed HULIGANI27c1,487$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.363619.4%7 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-45.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Vici Gaming69c1,462$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.851,15147.8%550 W · 601 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa08f…745bbacked Vici Gaming70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.16650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x266e…90f3backed Vici Gaming51c1,400$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.799968.7%68 W · 31 L+12.4wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+9.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.