Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: VG (-1.5) vs HULIGANI (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06ff4c3a83244ca935938dff3277f715e063e8f291e907216b7b50fa67a54453
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HULIGANIof Vici Gaming, HULIGANI
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,110
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,110 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d36…f787backed HULIGANI | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 6,281$3,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,140.57 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -13.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 5,300$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 4,504$2,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,252 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 3,221$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.57 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…ed1fbacked HULIGANI | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Vici Gaming | 49c | 2,677$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.58 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed HULIGANI | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…12ccbacked HULIGANI | 45c | 999.98$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.99 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Vici Gaming | 54c | 922.86$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.95 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x657a…d1f4backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 522.5$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Vici Gaming | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.99 | 268 | 46.6%125 W · 143 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 451.86$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.93 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked HULIGANI | 50c | 445.06$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Vici Gaming | 50c | 409.76$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.88 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked HULIGANI | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…fd05backed HULIGANI | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed HULIGANI | 47c | 299.99$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed HULIGANI | 47c | 299.98$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.99 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked HULIGANI | 47c | 273.72$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.61 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…d1eebacked Vici Gaming | 54c | 229.89$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.14 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.33per pick | 48cpaid | -73%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Vici Gaming | 49c | 223.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.76 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked Vici Gaming | 53c | 213.43$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.12 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…4065backed Vici Gaming | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Vici Gaming | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Vici Gaming | 55c | 181.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…b406backed HULIGANI | 48c | 176.5$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…14b3backed HULIGANI | 47c | 176.2$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.38 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed HULIGANI | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Vici Gaming | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed HULIGANI | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 263 | 43%113 W · 150 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked Vici Gaming | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Vici Gaming | 53c | 117.02$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.02 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffc…1d31backed Vici Gaming | 55c | 110$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34f…1cfabacked HULIGANI | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23d3…fc0ebacked Vici Gaming | 50c | 103$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 125 | 44%55 W · 70 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac68…f1fcbacked Vici Gaming | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -11.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -23%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Vici Gaming | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c5…5bbabacked Vici Gaming | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa28d…83bfbacked Vici Gaming | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Vici Gaming | 52c | 97.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 227 | 38.3%87 W · 140 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Vici Gaming | 54c | 92.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2338…27f6backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Vici Gaming | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Vici Gaming | 49c | 75.8$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f90…4c92backed Vici Gaming | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed HULIGANI | 48c | 64.12$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed HULIGANI | 48c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe180…889bbacked Vici Gaming | 54c | 61.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 124 | 56.5%70 W · 54 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Vici Gaming | 55c | 60.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e96…e128backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Vici Gaming | 49c | 52.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked HULIGANI | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Vici Gaming | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Vici Gaming | 44c | 49.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 240 | 34.2%82 W · 158 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Vici Gaming | 44c | 49.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Vici Gaming | 49c | 49.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf2…1204backed HULIGANI | 46c | 43.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb04d…2b19backed HULIGANI | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb3…ca8bbacked HULIGANI | 51c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 38.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 508 | 55.5%282 W · 226 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…3e39backed HULIGANI | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed HULIGANI | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3296…c186backed Vici Gaming | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e5…8e79backed Vici Gaming | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Vici Gaming | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed HULIGANI | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed HULIGANI | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3743…7bc1backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…5bc9backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -64%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: VG (-1.5) vs HULIGANI (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group StageVici Gaming won
- Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 WinnerHULIGANI won
- Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.