TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9f3e…5bc9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
107
Categories scored
30
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.6
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$65.15
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$91.8
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$114.38
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.2
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$21.05
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.7wins-0.33per pick61cpaid-59.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Nets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Mavericks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Cavaliersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Clippers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pelicans vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
All 11 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-58.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$42
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 8?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
Will Silver (SI) settle at <$70 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+37%+$27
Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+59.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Broadcom Q2 AI revenue be above $11.0B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$356
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+134.3%+$49.17
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$56
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$38.28
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.95
All 9 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-64%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Iron Wing (+1.5)backed Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Game Handicap: VG (-1.5) vs HULIGANI (+1.5)backed Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs HULIGANI (+1.5)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
All 8 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+28.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AHL: Cleveland Monsters vs. Laval Rocketbacked Cleveland Monsters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Blue Jackets vs. Blackhawksbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Penguins vs. Krakenbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+81.8%+$12.27
Islanders vs. Flamesbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 4 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+45.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+29.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-49.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dayton Flyers vs. VCU Ramsbacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Michigan Wolverines vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: French Flair vs BIG (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked French Flair · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.5
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Konyaspor win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 6 - April 12 be between 17,500,000 and 18,000,000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$15.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ASB Classic: Sebastian Baez vs Jakub Mensikbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealandbacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Denzel Dumfries score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.