Tennis · resolved market
ASB Classic: Sebastian Baez vs Jakub Mensik
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0910349317344dd6b3776ae7b0efaf2ada06949182c5122e29357cfb4f07b436
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mensikof Baez, Mensik
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,238
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,238 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed Mensik | 66c | 17,956$11,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,051.85 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Mensik | 76c | 7,683$5,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.88 | 156 | 65.4%102 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Baez | 34c | 5,592$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926.56 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Mensik | 67c | 5,458$3,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.25 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Baez | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Mensik | 66c | 4,861$3,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.6 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Baez | 34c | 4,576$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Baez | 33c | 4,424$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Baez | 32c | 4,373$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.26 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Baez | 23c | 4,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Mensik | 66c | 3,916$2,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.82 | 283 | 38.9%110 W · 173 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Baez | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.98 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Mensik | 69c | 2,897$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.18 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Mensik | 68c | 2,510$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.01 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Mensik | 68c | 2,500$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Baez | 34c | 2,236$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.39 | 142 | 59.2%84 W · 58 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mensik | 74c | 2,236$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.03 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Mensik | 68c | 2,067$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.29 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…3608backed Baez | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Mensik | 66c | 1,920$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.8 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Baez | 33c | 1,818$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 326 | 37.4%122 W · 204 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Baez | 32c | 1,760$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.2 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Baez | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Baez | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 903 | 35.8%323 W · 580 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Mensik | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.99 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Baez | 32c | 1,234$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Baez | 19c | 1,071$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.62 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4696…e741backed Baez | 33c | 986.63$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Mensik | 67c | 952.24$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.24 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Baez | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Baez | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 600 | 53.8%323 W · 277 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Baez | 29c | 900.84$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mensik | 78c | 823.82$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.54 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Baez | 35c | 811.76$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Baez | 34c | 800$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Baez | 35c | 784.61$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.61 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4772…cc49backed Baez | 33c | 777.85$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.69 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Mensik | 67c | 770.06$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.61 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…06ddbacked Baez | 35c | 757.86$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.25 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Baez | 14c | 719.9$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.76 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Mensik | 67c | 692.1$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.37 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…dbc5backed Baez | 33c | 686.39$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.61 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Mensik | 68c | 672.51$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.2 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd6…8577backed Baez | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Baez | 29c | 580.56$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe634…9ccfbacked Baez | 33c | 520.73$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Mensik | 71c | 494.8$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.62 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Baez | 33c | 455.61$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.88 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Baez | 23c | 443.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.33 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Baez | 34c | 422.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.82 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Baez | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 138 | 16.7%23 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed Baez | 33c | 378.79$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Mensik | 68c | 367.65$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 168 | 67.9%114 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Baez | 34c | 362.71$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.89 | 307 | 41.7%128 W · 179 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Mensik | 65c | 362.08$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.73 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…4a3cbacked Mensik | 68c | 351$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Baez | 34c | 338.44$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.07 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Baez | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdc…c974backed Baez | 32c | 309.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Baez | 4c | 304.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 108 | 5.6%6 W · 102 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e6…2f0fbacked Baez | 33c | 301.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Baez | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Baez | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd8…39b1backed Baez | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…03f1backed Baez | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 99 | 16.2%16 W · 83 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Mensik | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb06…4ababacked Baez | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 287 | 54%155 W · 132 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…e82bbacked Baez | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Baez | 35c | 286.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b60…576bbacked Mensik | 69c | 283.08$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…b6debacked Mensik | 77c | 280.08$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.08 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…db1fbacked Baez | 34c | 261.46$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.9 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Baez | 7c | 258.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Baez | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 228 | 40.4%92 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Baez | 33c | 219.21$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Baez | 35c | 214.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Baez | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 580 | 21.9%127 W · 453 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…d2a7backed Baez | 35c | 197.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Baez | 13c | 193.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe925…7d47backed Baez | 35c | 188.57$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Mensik | 67c | 181.88$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.02 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Baez | 33c | 181.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 191 | 29.8%57 W · 134 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2efb…ef8dbacked Baez | 33c | 181.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Baez | 35c | 172.97$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.51 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc391…6cc8backed Baez | 34c | 160$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Mensik | 66c | 160$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Baez | 14c | 154.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21af…8a8ebacked Baez | 34c | 152.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…5bc2backed Baez | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…0a16backed Baez | 17c | 149.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Baez | 34c | 149.59$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.86 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Mensik | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad5…bec4backed Mensik | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Baez | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f9…02e3backed Baez | 33c | 139$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935b…a5cebacked Mensik | 67c | 134.33$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…70d3backed Mensik | 67c | 126.87$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dba…d8a4backed Baez | 34c | 120.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f9…e957backed Mensik | 66c | 120$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d6…1a78backed Baez | 37c | 115$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ASB Classic: Sebastian Baez vs Jakub Mensikthis page
- Baez vs. Mensik: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Baez vs. Mensik: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Baez vs. Mensik: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Baez vs. Mensik: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Baez vs MensikMensik won
- Set Handicap: Mensik (-1.5) vs Baez (+1.5)Mensik won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.