TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc391…6cc8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
250
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Lol, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 53 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST7950.6%40 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 79 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$70
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$119.99
LoL: DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Play-Inbacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+108.3%+$122.35
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$86.94
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+57.6%+$79.87
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$83
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+42.9%+$69.55
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$59.41
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+143.9%+$118
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$70
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+132.6%+$85.5
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$218.21
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+58.7%+$37
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+61.3%+$76
LoL: Shifters vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$70
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+121.4%+$343.46
Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)backed ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$172
Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA Challengers (+1.5)backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+42.9%+$7.91
LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$96.11
LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$60
LoL: Team Heretics vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$46.96
LoL: KT Rolster vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+82.9%+$203.99
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$120.75
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$39.52
LoL: Shifters vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Showing 25 of 79 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST5149%25 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+97.1%+$144.41
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+37.7%+$27.4
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$64
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+78.6%+$44
Alcaraz vs. Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Under 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$158
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+137.2%+$162.52
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+47.1%+$32
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5)backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+85.2%+$66.84
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+26.6%+$21
Set 1 Winner: Musetti vs Djokovicbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+194.1%+$132
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$104
Australian Open Women's: Elena Rybakina vs Iga Swiatekbacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+90.5%+$95
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Minaur (+2.5)backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+85.2%+$135.79
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$113.99
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Casper Ruudbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+44.9%+$124
Darderi vs. Sinner: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Under 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+52.7%+$69
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$28.56
Australian Open Men's: Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+203%+$201
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Australian Open Women's: Coco Gauff vs Karolina Muchovabacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$42.69
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Paul (+2.5)backed Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$126
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Paul (+1.5)backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+27.1%+$85.85
Australian Open Men's: Jakub Mensik vs Ethan Quinnbacked Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$66
Australian Open Women's: Anna Kalinskaya vs Iga Swiatekbacked Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$63
Australian Open Women's: Linda Noskova vs Xinyu Wangbacked Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$127
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST5048%24 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$29.99
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$117.17
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+127.3%+$112
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$50.57
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+117.4%+$117.39
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+138.1%+$161.3
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+163.2%+$95.17
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$124.07
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+53.8%+$38.5
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$84.43
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$43
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$34.97
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+58.7%+$37
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+141%+$119.81
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+100%+$110
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+66.5%+$101.79
Counter-Strike: paiN vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$65.31
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$116.26
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$132.2
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+1.5)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$108.22
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$107
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT3545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Magic vs. Spursbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$59.74
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+138.1%+$58
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+96.1%+$49
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Pistons vs. Sunsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$35.29
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+85.2%+$46
Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$73.5
Rockets vs. Hawksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+56.3%+$36
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+150%+$120
Kings vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+354.5%+$234
Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 245.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+108.3%+$68.51
Celtics vs. Bullsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$57.8
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Raptors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+117.4%+$54
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$87.93
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$108.19
Suns vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+277.9%+$111.64
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$59
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$153.38
Heat vs. Warriorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST2040%8 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$116
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$58.5
Will Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+233.3%+$70
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+81.8%+$45
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+117.4%+$54
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+127.8%+$95.82
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+170.3%+$126
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$61
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+156.4%+$122
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$104
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+92.3%+$96
Will Leeds United FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+174%+$127
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$94.51
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+80.2%+$88.99
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$51
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Spread: Broncos (-1.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+100%+$50
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Real Madrid CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+127.3%+$63.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+108.3%+$123.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yadong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$72
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.