NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5aba504f810ed1085ddf5fc15d6099c7aba274468c2814636752ba3e02b84181
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Hawks, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,060,487
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,047,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,060,487 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Hawks | 48c | 289,406$138,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150,491.19 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies | 52c | 118,669$61,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,708.05 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Grizzlies | 54c | 110,741$60,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 100,000$52,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,999.91 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Hawks | 48c | 70,000$33,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,635.12 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f10…76b3backed Grizzlies | 62c | 48,895$30,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,227.7 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Grizzlies | 42c | 42,491$17,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,707.08 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 41,061$21,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,322.95 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hawks | 56c | 35,028$19,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,374.68 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Grizzlies | 47c | 33,431$15,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,553.05 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Grizzlies | 52c | 29,500$15,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,339.99 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Hawks | 49c | 25,220$12,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,977.52 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Hawks | 43c | 23,886$10,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,615.27 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Hawks | 48c | 22,624$10,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,791.12 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Grizzlies | 21c | 22,180$4,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,702.1 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Grizzlies | 59c | 19,464$11,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,425.13 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Hawks | 48c | 19,000$9,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,919.94 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Hawks | 73c | 18,797$13,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,012.74 | 397 | 44.3%176 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks | 46c | 18,337$8,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,873.12 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hawks | 51c | 17,957$9,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,783.05 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Grizzlies | 48c | 16,967$8,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,069.25 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ac…88c9backed Grizzlies | 53c | 15,703$8,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,322.43 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Hawks | 48c | 15,625$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,125 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Hawks | 49c | 15,163$7,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,684.5 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Grizzlies | 22c | 15,034$3,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,255.54 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Hawks | 46c | 14,152$6,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,642.02 | 272 | 47.1%128 W · 144 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Hawks | 48c | 14,010$6,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,285.42 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Grizzlies | 58c | 13,409$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Grizzlies | 55c | 13,384$7,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,340.56 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hawks | 45c | 12,962$5,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,145.18 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Hawks | 47c | 12,651$5,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,685.57 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Hawks | 45c | 12,500$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,900 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Grizzlies | 41c | 12,322$4,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,993.46 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Grizzlies | 52c | 12,182$6,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,313.04 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Hawks | 43c | 12,000$5,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,839.99 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 11,321$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000.12 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…1667backed Hawks | 46c | 11,006$5,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,897.1 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Grizzlies | 52c | 10,992$5,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,742.82 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed Hawks | 47c | 10,638$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,638.1 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Hawks | 48c | 10,505$5,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,462.6 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8256…3600backed Hawks | 48c | 10,232$4,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,284.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…a442backed Grizzlies | 52c | 9,661$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Hawks | 44c | 9,538$4,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,302.3 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Grizzlies | 67c | 9,053$6,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,037.72 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Grizzlies | 33c | 8,644$2,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,852.68 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf19c…1e99backed Hawks | 41c | 8,221$3,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,857.86 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Grizzlies | 54c | 7,765$4,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,227.72 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…6605backed Grizzlies | 53c | 7,547$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35bd…1ecfbacked Grizzlies | 56c | 7,001$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920.45 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceb5…3fbfbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 7,000$3,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,690 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8b…77d4backed Hawks | 43c | 7,000$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,989.95 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Grizzlies | 41c | 6,970$2,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,877.17 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked Hawks | 48c | 6,677$3,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,472.08 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Grizzlies | 29c | 6,637$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.33 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6880…5efdbacked Hawks | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Grizzlies | 54c | 6,100$3,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,294 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked Hawks | 47c | 6,012$2,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,186.42 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…5250backed Grizzlies | 52c | 6,001$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 6,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 49c | 5,631$2,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,755.43 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Hawks | 44c | 5,595$2,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,133.34 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Hawks | 43c | 5,555$2,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,166.35 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Hawks | 48c | 5,498$2,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,845.64 | 369 | 50.1%185 W · 184 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Hawks | 45c | 5,300$2,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,920.98 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2b…7f04backed Hawks | 47c | 5,200$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,755.99 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Hawks | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab4…a27abacked Hawks | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hawks | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa827…1adbbacked Hawks | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec9…8d0bbacked Hawks | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.99 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Grizzlies | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.97 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hawks | 48c | 4,986$2,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,579.89 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffc…c932backed Grizzlies | 55c | 4,802$2,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,641.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Grizzlies | 48c | 4,500$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4168…faf7backed Grizzlies | 56c | 4,470$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,503.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a94…8518backed Hawks | 44c | 4,470$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,503.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…ad7cbacked Grizzlies | 56c | 4,469$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,502.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84e…0ee9backed Hawks | 44c | 4,469$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,502.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370d…965abacked Grizzlies | 56c | 4,460$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e1…a04fbacked Hawks | 44c | 4,460$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,497.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c58…c450backed Hawks | 44c | 4,400$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,464 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aee…7b7bbacked Grizzlies | 56c | 4,400$2,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,464 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ebf…e50fbacked Hawks | 47c | 4,097$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,191.65 | 651 | 44.5%290 W · 361 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Grizzlies | 29c | 4,027$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.53 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Grizzlies | 67c | 4,000$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,680 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Hawks | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…c583backed Grizzlies | 55c | 4,000$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,179.96 | 208 | 47.6%99 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Grizzlies | 55c | 3,852$2,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,118.54 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed Hawks | 47c | 3,761$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.33 | 220 | 51.8%114 W · 106 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b33…3d6abacked Grizzlies | 31c | 3,677$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.62 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 3,585$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…3743backed Grizzlies | 56c | 3,500$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…1b5fbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 3,495$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.47 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaba…51debacked Grizzlies | 33c | 3,384$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.3 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Grizzlies | 6c | 3,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…f7aabacked Grizzlies | 56c | 3,320$1,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.77 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Hawks | 48c | 3,302$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.06 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 3,200$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdba7…cc9fbacked Grizzlies | 56c | 3,200$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.99 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Hawks | 48c | 3,048$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.03 | 284 | 39.8%113 W · 171 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Grizzliesthis page
- Cam Spencer: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Hawks vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Hawks vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 238.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 239.5Over won
- Santi Aldama: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.