TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,615
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$104,370

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,615 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over53c30,697$16,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,427.7466853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a80…141fbacked Under52c22,216$11,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,523.992321.7%5 W · 18 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-57.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over48c11,483$5,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,974.434,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under47c11,287$5,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,304.662,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Under48c6,767$3,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,248.1413239.4%52 W · 80 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Over53c6,457$3,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,040.441,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under47c5,702$2,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,679.942,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Under47c5,590$2,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,627.4940350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Over54c5,307$2,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,460.5934654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over53c4,165$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9652,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfda1…6253backed Over51c4,100$2,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+45.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4e9…c9fabacked Under49c4,100$2,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,009250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over49c3,904$1,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,981.928,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed Over48c3,833$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,993.364254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under46c3,827$1,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,771.469,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Over55c3,500$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5751,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Under47c3,438$1,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,61612151.2%62 W · 59 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under47c3,433$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,597.963,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under47c3,069$1,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,442.436,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20048054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over52c2,285$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.5838253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over48c2,084$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.851,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c1,798$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.985,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under47c1,267$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.3717250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Over53c1,200$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56441553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50061740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over53c900.02$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.012,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e16…9719backed Under58c862.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under47c800$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3761,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Under45c767.49$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.3754747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed Under47c423.41$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1998232.9%27 W · 55 L-15.2wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39.8%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xdac9…56e7backed Under47c410.64$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1933148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over53c384.23$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.5980653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Under46c382.31$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.8626544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Over54c347.2$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.7122055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over56c341.07$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.0746258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under44c339.29$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.294,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Under45c318$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.162541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Under47c268.7$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.2928147.7%134 W · 147 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ccc…585fbacked Over56c260$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.45141.2%21 W · 30 L-5.6wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Under44c230$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.222138%84 W · 137 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Under47c228$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1619350.3%97 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e28…c195backed Under45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x86e5…b098backed Under45c221$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.555457.4%31 W · 23 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+32.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb9f…fde1backed Under46c218.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004148.8%20 W · 21 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x939a…2f45backed Under46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Under46c215.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004643.5%20 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Over56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8818650%93 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Over54c179.04$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3616642.2%70 W · 96 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a1…3b93backed Over54c153.42$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.571883.3%15 W · 3 L+5.5wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+62.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under46c150.01$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6966143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x92aa…f5afbacked Under47c132.21$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.14450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Under47c126.35$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3853043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under47c124.71$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.252,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Over55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5459144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e91…3e2abacked Under47c113.86$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.515339.6%21 W · 32 L-6.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under44c109.28$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.082,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under46c101.8$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5247542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Under53c101$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5354351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65f9…4dd7backed Over67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335932.2%19 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88b5…7b0bbacked Under33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335435.2%19 W · 35 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Over48c98.9$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4310462.5%65 W · 39 L+11.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+27.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed Over56c98.21$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.219942.4%42 W · 57 L-9.6wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under45c88.88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba87…bc76backed Over54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.077047.1%33 W · 37 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b29…6d5abacked Under47c63.19$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick48cpaid-72.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under53c61.16$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1388845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b79…a497backed Over54c59.15$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.238149.4%40 W · 41 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Under47c57.02$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.831155%171 W · 140 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cd3…772abacked Under47c57$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.795450%27 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under45c56.93$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8792750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Over56c56.73$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9624363.8%155 W · 88 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb53c…c76ebacked Under45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2548740.7%198 W · 289 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over53c52.93$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.013,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc98a…edacbacked Under47c51.83$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.363447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Under50c50.41$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2555533.5%186 W · 369 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Over54c50.2$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0945651.1%233 W · 223 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc079…8881backed Under47c50.05$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.527753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x437b…0ba4backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516547.3%78 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x329e…2eafbacked Under44c48.34$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.375322.6%12 W · 41 L-11.5wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-53.1%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xe56e…0bb4backed Under46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024248.3%117 W · 125 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0501…61ecbacked Under46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x135c…0c80backed Under47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x96e9…d630backed Under47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203330.3%10 W · 23 L-5.3wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-43.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under47c42.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.581,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under48c42.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.181,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207040%28 W · 42 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x91d5…4ab2backed Under64c31.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208043.8%35 W · 45 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x43d6…a56abacked Under48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156035%21 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c7…b84abacked Under46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.85757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9202…8ef9backed Under50c28.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.413646.3%63 W · 73 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x96d9…05d5backed Under47c27.66$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1319748.2%95 W · 102 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over51c26.32$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1324138.6%93 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb2…4954backed Over52c25.15$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.072445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27ce…9a42backed Over54c25.07$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.455942.4%25 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Under47c24.7$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6152246.6%243 W · 279 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.21,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.