TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe56e…0bb4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
287
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: UFC, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 58 out of 100; worst Tweets at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT24248.3%117 W · 125 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 242 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+105.4%+$73.78
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$177.78
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$28.89
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 242 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Spread: Japan (-1.5)backed Tunisia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)backed Curaçao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$30.91
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)backed Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Canada (-1.5)backed Qatar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Bosnia and Herzegovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Uzbekistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$44.52
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Austria (-1.5)backed Jordan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+148.8%+$44.65
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41.69
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$48.97
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$25.26
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$38.43
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$73.78
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+265.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.