TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$393,101
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$388,446

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $393,101 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes19c44,195$8,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,270.8519239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes8c32,899$2,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,480.710253.9%55 W · 47 L+14.1wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+58.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked Yes17c29,412$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0005352.8%28 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes18c20,853$3,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,753.5585048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes10c14,747$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.6988635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes3c9,710$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.484,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes7c7,863$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.76,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Yes2c7,000$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1732842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes18c5,358$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.445032%16 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb553…457bbacked Yes8c5,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002540%10 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6f16…5fe7backed Yes17c4,706$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid+13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes5c4,655$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.062,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes15c3,951$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.493253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+58.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes19c3,150$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes18c2,909$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.497427%20 W · 54 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26a6…dedebacked Yes7c2,857$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20080%0 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes18c2,643$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.741,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…98e3backed Yes2c2,569$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.341172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+31.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed Yes4c2,249$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.958919.1%17 W · 72 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-40%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa2b…5dfebacked Yes17c2,173$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.593745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes6c2,095$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.776842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ac…a2c9backed Yes18c2,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-41.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes14c1,916$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.9514658.9%86 W · 60 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd760…f7f5backed Yes19c1,875$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.21837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+56.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x934e…f045backed Yes7c1,500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+49.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes10c1,354$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.3257833%191 W · 387 L-29.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes6c1,254$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2272142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd68d…945dbacked Yes7c1,070$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.250%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6026319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8716…57c8backed Yes18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b98…d011backed Yes1c999.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68f9…0be1backed Yes5c999.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-56.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f12…1937backed Yes18c834$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.123324.2%8 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cbb…8a37backed Yes19c778.11$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.84616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-64.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes2c644.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157736.4%28 W · 49 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x92f7…a6c2backed Yes19c600$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes10c599$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9415030.7%46 W · 104 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ae5…6079backed Yes18c588.34$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.91346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x867b…9fbabacked Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002528%7 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4b22…8cd6backed Yes19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+21.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401741.2%7 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick29cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes14c490.49$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3877336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18c…0350backed Yes18c466.01$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823735.1%13 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes11c451.54$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8938233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes18c410$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.81,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1833…cc31backed Yes3c407.26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122050%10 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20a5…f86ebacked Yes19c375.26$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.31020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3628…c986backed Yes19c368.42$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704037.5%15 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x490e…42f1backed Yes12c356$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes17c346.03$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3280953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes6c324.83$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4928859.7%172 W · 116 L+19.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x13ad…241bbacked Yes18c297.56$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.562240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes14c296.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.167050%35 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0739…aba8backed Yes17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x909e…735cbacked Yes19c292.21$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.521526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc21a…e0e0backed Yes7c284.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a4d…a2c2backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x529f…ffd4backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202821.4%6 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaaa…f91dbacked Yes7c249$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.432941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes18c240.45$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4269851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes18c239.98$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.222746.7%106 W · 121 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked Yes7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1415245.4%69 W · 83 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes9c199.86$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9621250%106 W · 106 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f32…0af7backed Yes18c190$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.230%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…ae13backed Yes17c176.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306527.7%18 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ef5…e25cbacked Yes19c173.68$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-48%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes6c166.96$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0213045.4%59 W · 71 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked Yes6c165.69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.78037.5%30 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x695a…3ea0backed Yes7c164.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-45.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes19c157.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022832.9%75 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4642…9458backed Yes19c157.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x696a…5f25backed Yes18c157.89$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes19c150$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.57648.7%37 W · 39 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc561…ab7cbacked Yes7c147.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7240%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18cb…67d6backed Yes18c138.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde37…1911backed Yes8c134.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes18c132.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9435661.2%218 W · 138 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6195…b9e3backed Yes18c130$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.41323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-31.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6217…53d8backed Yes17c123.53$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacfc…f2fdbacked Yes17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-38.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe56e…0bb4backed Yes17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa492…adbebacked Yes17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209131.9%29 W · 62 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-34.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb757…4c1bbacked Yes19c116$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.04650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d26…803fbacked Yes13c114.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3836…b2ecbacked Yes19c106.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.24825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-50.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8035…eb6abacked Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203724.3%9 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes20c105$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2145224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fb2…eb78backed Yes19c101.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.38728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ae1…f481backed Yes17c77.59$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.193828.9%11 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf316…1e44backed Yes18c67.97$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122035%7 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8ab…783cbacked Yes19c66.68$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes18c62.84$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2254340.5%220 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes19c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.421250.9%108 W · 104 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb36…06c8backed Yes18c59.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.84932.7%16 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6925…d76dbacked Yes19c57.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1180%0 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Yes19c57.06$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.631822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50aa…70ddbacked Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107445.9%34 W · 40 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.