TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdaaa…f91d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
103
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Serie A, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.43
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$32.48
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+100%+$18.72
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11.79
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11.86
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$141.21
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+222.6%+$51.93
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+300%+$48.3
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+31.6%+$3.79
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+127.3%+$13.06
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+143.9%+$71.95
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$89
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+35.1%+$17.57
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+143.9%+$72.02
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10.58
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+132.6%+$22.53
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+69.5%+$27.8
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.75
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$162.41
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+138.1%+$69.05
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+47.1%+$13.2
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$31.22
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$29.54
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+150%+$17.75
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+72.4%+$21.72
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+63.9%+$47.91
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$113.67
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+244.8%+$51.63
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14.97
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+61.3%+$30.65
Will Elche CF win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.35
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10.14
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.22
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50.92
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.27
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$11.79
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$185.08
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will FC København win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+339.4%+$101.82
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+63.2%+$46.46
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Atalanta BC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+66.7%+$20
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+44.9%+$13.48
All 15 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+28.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.44
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.85
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Genoa CFC vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+143.9%+$16.97
AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$221.66
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+61.3%+$84.32
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+40.8%+$27.28
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+51.5%+$22.71
Will US Lecce win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+177.8%+$88.89
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+32.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$37.78
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+127.9%+$31.97
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16.67
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13.31
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+177.8%+$53.3
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+143.9%+$71.95
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+57.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+21%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.