TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,484,257
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,810,665

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,484,257 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 727 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0039…6bebbacked Yes68c873,049$593,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593,739.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-44.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94f1…4c7abacked Yes68c727,353$494,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494,600.21366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94f0…cd31backed Yes67c478,274$320,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320,443.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No36c387,120$139,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247,988.624,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked No32c350,000$112,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238,0003946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No32c281,968$90,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191,738.2110438.5%40 W · 64 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No32c216,976$69,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147,544.0135442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed No33c150,400$49,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101,0702339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No33c97,600$32,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,3923240.6%13 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+274.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No34c94,211$32,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,842.261,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No32c90,170$29,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,104.295242.3%22 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes68c76,723$52,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,541.8650243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No32c76,590$24,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,918.6520449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No32c64,858$21,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,842.946145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No32c55,959$17,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,052.358940.4%36 W · 53 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No32c55,000$17,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,15024145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No32c50,741$16,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,263.877455.4%41 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes68c50,377$34,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,363.3430634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No33c43,580$14,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,198.62755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No44c40,752$17,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,757.6390843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No32c40,000$12,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,199.989743.3%42 W · 55 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No33c33,336$11,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,335.362646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No32c25,917$8,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,528.251,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No32c21,758$6,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,795.473925.6%10 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No33c21,115$6,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,124.6210539%41 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No33c18,710$6,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,535.78828.4%25 W · 63 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No33c18,012$5,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,068.046357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaebc…fb65backed Yes69c18,000$12,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,405650%3 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f20…96a8backed No32c17,610$5,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,974.81741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No34c17,047$5,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,331.216740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked No32c16,610$5,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,294.781637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes67c15,544$10,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,373.312,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked No32c15,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,2003946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No32c14,719$4,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,008.746023.3%14 W · 46 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-34.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed No33c14,589$4,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,774.472245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No36c14,447$5,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,275.8515443.5%67 W · 87 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes69c12,981$8,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,986.436764.2%43 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09e0…e546backed No33c12,165$4,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,150.541764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+44.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes63c12,084$7,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,616.26160.7%37 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No33c11,763$3,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,881.032842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes38c11,693$4,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,452.8713249.2%65 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes15c10,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50013824.6%34 W · 104 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes29c10,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9006051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5da4…e203backed Yes40c9,999$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.721650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a09…db1cbacked No67c8,967$6,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,958.991668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No32c8,500$2,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,7805950.8%30 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No32c7,902$2,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,343.4332645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed No32c7,803$2,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,306.02933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No32c7,500$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,1009625%24 W · 72 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Yes11c7,198$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.51020%2 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked No33c7,101$2,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,757.393540%14 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc70d…a6f9backed Yes68c7,010$4,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,793.682040%8 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No33c6,793$2,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,582.7779133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked No33c6,760$2,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,529.12948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked No33c6,616$2,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,432.72334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No32c6,574$2,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,464.1320452.5%107 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x212b…fed1backed Yes33c6,142$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae6…3cbebacked No31c6,000$1,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1301060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No32c6,000$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,11019255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No31c5,992$1,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,134.167321.9%16 W · 57 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-37.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed No33c5,982$1,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,007.822740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+36.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed No33c5,900$1,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9531952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e50…96efbacked Yes68c5,751$3,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,909.34250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No32c5,500$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,729.994740.4%19 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No33c5,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,349.9713046.2%60 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No32c4,727$1,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,205.6112757.5%73 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No32c4,689$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,188.5220159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked No33c4,545$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,045.451643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Yes68c4,412$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.164465.9%29 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b73…7421backed Yes34c4,244$1,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4431442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed No67c4,235$2,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,396.611457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+57.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed No32c4,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,720.063930.8%12 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a24…4a1fbacked No33c4,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6801250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked No32c3,980$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,706.41758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+33%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb40f…a5b1backed No33c3,874$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,595.582326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No67c3,599$2,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.663345.5%15 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked No32c3,562$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,422.165939%23 W · 36 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No48c3,524$1,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,832.061,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Yes64c3,148$2,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,013.246235.5%22 W · 40 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb5…7349backed Yes66c3,099$2,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,044.98966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb99d…1e6abacked No33c3,091$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,070.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No33c3,000$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,01015952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes67c3,000$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,01010848.1%52 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No32c3,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.996640.9%27 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No32c3,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.998334.9%29 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes66c3,000$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.9413845.7%63 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe12c…e7c7backed Yes70c2,857$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked No32c2,840$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,931.185141.2%21 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed No32c2,766$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,880.631566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked No33c2,586$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,732.922218.2%4 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-64.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a49…8786backed Yes26c2,560$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No33c2,516$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,685.723444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No32c2,500$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,70035148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No32c2,449$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,665.393438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd65…3e60backed Yes41c2,439$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013958.3%81 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No31c2,400$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6567353.4%39 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No31c2,400$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65621957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0401…2f0ebacked No31c2,200$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5181338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No33c2,131$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,436.9629545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No33c2,119$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.4464046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.