TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$139,296
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$158,914

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,296 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes0c17,510$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.517841%32 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes23c14,678$3,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,381.144,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No77c12,078$9,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,759.8790843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No80c9,887$7,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,977.47455.4%41 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes20c6,420$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.612,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No80c5,330$4,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0665754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes19c5,236$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.8220449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No80c5,204$4,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.746357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed No67c4,643$3,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.331553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Yes19c2,897$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.43930.8%12 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes20c2,873$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.0279133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No72c2,648$1,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.73,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes20c2,550$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5108334.9%29 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No78c2,269$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.7940033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No72c1,902$1,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.381,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes34c1,765$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes32c1,565$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.84843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f4e…5104backed Yes32c1,550$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.852334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-43.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No68c1,169$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37469142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes21c1,119$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.869840.8%40 W · 58 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed No80c1,053$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.631566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes20c1,015$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.9464046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes32c973$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.2813249.2%65 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Yes21c870.8$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.874238.1%16 W · 26 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fcd…355abacked Yes20c795$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Yes33c790.84$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.731020%2 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes32c781.79$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507024.3%17 W · 53 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes32c781.25$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25015446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No78c761.43$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.527851.3%40 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes20c760$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1526222.6%14 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-36.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Yes20c750$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15032145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes20c646.57$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.3153246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f18…2d79backed Yes32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33e6…0244backed Yes32c570$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.77431.1%23 W · 51 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+30.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked Yes34c544.12$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8d8…8d55backed Yes33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1652050%10 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes17c500$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.089530.5%29 W · 66 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa0a…8d66backed Yes31c478.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Yes21c450.6$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.636346%29 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Yes33c434$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.2213263.6%84 W · 48 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11216446.3%76 W · 88 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12014427.8%40 W · 104 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No79c399.98$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8442851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5528…c098backed Yes22c386.36$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed No80c375$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753151.6%16 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb227…127cbacked Yes32c359.25$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.961421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes23c340.97$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.826930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes29c340.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006833.8%23 W · 45 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca66…2305backed Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2212…b427backed Yes33c300.8$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.97853.8%42 W · 36 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6023947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed Yes32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-57.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5905…a34cbacked Yes30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No61c298.14$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.0611736.8%43 W · 74 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xada4…c344backed Yes29c290.31$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.191127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Yes33c255.15$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846460.9%39 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c8c…7026backed Yes4c251.29$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick26cpaid+82.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes31c250$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes24c238$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6160147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes21c216.3$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456643.9%29 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Yes20c210.84$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424637%17 W · 29 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes20c207.78$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2530749.2%151 W · 156 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5842458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4089050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes19c195.17$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.081,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ad…5692backed Yes30c182.33$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Yes32c181.59$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.116657.6%38 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cbd…351ebacked Yes55c180.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71cc…9144backed Yes29c172.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506144.3%27 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ee7…0ba8backed No67c170$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.12552%13 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed Yes19c164.53$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.089554.7%52 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes32c162.25$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.924440.9%18 W · 26 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick29cpaid+56.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes26c160.61$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4114023.6%33 W · 107 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Yes19c154$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2611741.9%49 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f8d…c35dbacked Yes30c150.25$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.64616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick37cpaid-45.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e52…9078backed Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504139%16 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b4…f6d1backed Yes35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502548%12 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes31c134.12$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4214333.6%48 W · 95 L+11.8wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7e0…321bbacked Yes19c130$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2a…5ccebacked Yes33c130$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4549…0450backed Yes19c129.92$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-56.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes32c120$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.87448.6%36 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee77…ad2abacked Yes34c117.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403138.7%12 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4aa…6156backed Yes32c110.53$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.9wins+0.36per pick46cpaid+78%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No50c109.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6926641.4%110 W · 156 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No80c105$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e1c…a9a5backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206136.1%22 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb94…04f4backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2970%0 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3117128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2601…61a9backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291520%3 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-70.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b35…12b3backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242548%12 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc02…958abacked Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.64126.8%11 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-36.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8636…d3c7backed No80c96.98$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd9…96f0backed Yes31c96.8$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203528.6%10 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204050%20 W · 20 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Yes32c93.28$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.857744.2%34 W · 43 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd104…7c02backed Yes49c92.47$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453063.3%19 W · 11 L+4.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+33%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc525…daf0backed No62c85.85$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.42862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+60.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.