TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5f8d…c35d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Cricket, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 53 out of 100; worst La Liga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will West Ham United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+270.4%+$37.85
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+105.1%+$20.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+47.1%+$11.2
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.62
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+212.5%+$34
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Everton FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+47.1%+$11.2
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+194.1%+$33
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$11.84
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.6
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+137%+$28.9
Will Chelsea FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
All 17 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+316.7%+$41.17
Will 1. FC Köln vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+96.1%+$24.5
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17.36
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+81.5%+$15.06
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+115.5%+$26.8
Will Hamburger SV vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+257.1%+$36
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$35.9
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Will RB Leipzig vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+72.4%+$35.9
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$86.59
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
All 14 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-47.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+51.5%+$7.2
Valorant: NRG vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+73.4%+$12.7
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.91
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Liquid (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$30.7
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
Valorant: T1 vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO5) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$46.24
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs BBL Esports (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$99.83
Valorant: DRX vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$16.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick37cpaid-45.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-64.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+49.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+81.8%+$18
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$24.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.